|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Slips below 183.00 as momentum weakens

  • EUR/JPY may explore the area around the three-week low of 181.57.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index stands at 50.96, indicating subdued momentum.
  • The primary resistance lies at the nine-day EMA of 183.44.

EUR/JPY extends its losses for the fourth successive session, trading around 182.80 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross remains subdued following the release of Germany’s Retail Sales, which climbed 1.1% year-over-year (YoY) in November, following an increase of 0.9% in October. Monthly Retail Sales fell 0.6% in November, against a 0.3% decline in October and the market expectations of a 0.2% increase.

The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 50.96 (neutral), confirming tempered momentum. The EUR/JPY cross remains above the rising 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), while it stalls beneath a softening nine-day EMA, pointing to consolidation after the recent advance.

The EUR/JPY cross may navigate the region around the initial support at the three-week low of 181.57, recorded on December 17, followed by the 50-day EMA at 181.31. Holding above the 50-day EMA would keep the medium-term uptrend intact, while a drop through the first floor could expose the deeper level.

On the upside, the EUR/JPY cross may rebound toward the nine-day EMA at 183.44. Recovery through the nine-day EMA could re-establish upside traction and refocus the topside path toward the all-time high of 184.95, which was recorded on December 22, aligned with the psychological level of 185.00.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.06%0.04%-0.09%0.11%0.00%0.11%0.09%
EUR-0.06%-0.01%-0.16%0.05%-0.05%0.04%0.03%
GBP-0.04%0.00%-0.15%0.06%-0.04%0.06%0.04%
JPY0.09%0.16%0.15%0.21%0.11%0.20%0.19%
CAD-0.11%-0.05%-0.06%-0.21%-0.10%-0.01%-0.02%
AUD-0.00%0.05%0.04%-0.11%0.10%0.10%0.08%
NZD-0.11%-0.04%-0.06%-0.20%0.00%-0.10%-0.02%
CHF-0.09%-0.03%-0.04%-0.19%0.02%-0.08%0.02%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold flat lines below $4,150 as rallying USD offsets receding Fed hike bets

Gold extends its consolidative price move, trading below $4,150 heading into the European session, and moves within a range held over the past week or so. As investors look past Friday's disappointing US jobs data, the US Dollar regains strong positive traction and rallies to a fresh high since April 2025. This is seen as a key factor capping the commodity, though receding bets for an October rate hike by the Federal Reserve help limit the downside.

BNB: Derivatives back bullish upside continuation

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, edges lower trading around $790 on Monday after posting three consecutive weekly gains. Rising Open Interest and positive funding rates suggest that bullish positioning is strengthening in the derivatives market.

Economics week ahead
In the U.S., the September ISM Services index is expected to ease modestly while continuing to signal expansion, with particular attention on whether price pressures remain elevated. In Canada, the labor market likely rebounded in September, although broader trends still point to a cooling pace of employment growth.
The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.