|

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Rises above 156.00 as bulls face key resistance area

  • EUR/JPY remains in a bearish bias despite recent recovery, with momentum flattening and potential consolidation ahead.
  • A break above 157.00 could target resistance at 157.46 (Tenkan-Sen) and 158.49 (Senkou Span A).
  • For a bearish continuation, EUR/JPY must fall below 155.14, with the YTD low at 154.39 as the next support level.

The EUR/JPY recovered some ground on Monday, registering gains of over 0.40% and climbing past the 156.00 figure. As Tuesday’s Asian session begins, the cross-currency pair exchanges hands at 156.51, virtually unchanged.

Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) lowered rates by 0.25%, yet signaled that it would most likely pause at the October meeting due to the lack of data policymakers would have at their disposal. This boosted the Euro, though the jump could be short-lived as a Bank of Japan (BoJ) monetary policy decision looms.

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The pair remains downward biased despite recovering from an over 4.70% fall. The momentum is bearish but has flatlined, hinting that consolidation lies ahead. That said, the EUR/JPY could remain range-bound within a 150-pip volatility range.

If EUR/JPY climbs above 157.00, the next resistance will be the Tenkan-Sen at 157.46. A breach of the latter will expose the Senkou Span A at 158.49, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 159.52.

Conversely, for a bearish continuation, EUR/JPY must drop below the September 16 low of 155.14. The next support would be the year-to-date (YTD) low of 154.39.  

EUR/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

Euro PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.00%0.02%0.01%-0.01%-0.01%-0.03%0.03%
EUR-0.01% 0.00%-0.02%-0.03%-0.02%-0.04%0.03%
GBP-0.02%-0.01% 0.00%-0.02%-0.02%-0.04%-0.01%
JPY-0.01%0.02%0.00% 0.01%-0.02%-0.03%-0.02%
CAD0.01%0.03%0.02%-0.01% 0.00%-0.01%0.01%
AUD0.00%0.02%0.02%0.02%-0.00% -0.01%-0.02%
NZD0.03%0.04%0.04%0.03%0.00%0.01% 0.02%
CHF-0.03%-0.03%0.00%0.02%-0.01%0.02%-0.02% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD treads water around 1.3380

The Greenback’s recovery weighs on the British Pund on Monday, sending GBP/USD to the area of three-day troughs around 1.3360, where it seems to have met some contention. Cable adds to Friday’s pullback and returns to the area below its 200-day SMA, leaving the door open to a deeper retracement in the near term.

EUR/USD puts 1.1400 to the test

EUR/USD fades the earlier bull run and faces renewed selling interest at the beginning of the week. That said, the pair builds on Friday’s losses and confronts the key 1.1400 mark in response to a decent rebound in the US Dollar and steady uncertainty on the geopolitical front.

Gold looks weak and close to $4,000

Gold adds to recent weakness and trades closer to the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce in quite a negative start to the week. The yellow metal’s decline hot two-week lows on the back the solid performance of the US Dollar and steady uncertainty in the Middle East, all ahead of Tuesday's US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh's testimony.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as US and Iran exchange fresh attacks

The cryptocurrency market broadly corrects on Monday, as risk-averse sentiment persists amid fresh military attacks between the US and Iran in the Middle East. Bitcoin hovers above $63,000, reinforcing a weak technical structure while Ethereum trades below $1,800 with the next key support near $1,700.

The week ahead: Geopolitical risks rise, Warsh speaks to congress and earnings season gathers pace

It’s a shaky start to the week for financial markets. The oil price has risen by nearly 4% and Brent crude is trading above $79 per barrel. This comes after more attacks between the US and Iran in the Gulf, and statements from the Iranian regime that it has closed the Strait of Hormuz.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.