|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Further range bound looks likely

  • EUR/JPY drops to three-day lows following Wednesday’s monthly highs.
  • Further consolidation appears on the cards in the very near term.

EUR/JPY retreats from Wednesday’s monthly highs around 158.60 and revisits the vicinity of the 157.00 zone, or three-day lows, on Thursday.

In the meantime, the cross continues to face some side-lined trading prior to a potential resumption of the uptrend. That said, a minor hurdle emerges at the so far monthly high of 158.65 (September 13) ahead of the 2023 top at 159.76 (August 30) and before the key round level at 160.00. The surpass of the latter should not see any resistance level of note until the 2008 high at 169.96 (July 23).

So far, the longer term positive outlook for the cross appears favoured while above the 200-day SMA, today at 148.70.

EUR/JPY daily chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price157.3
Today Daily Change129
Today Daily Change %-0.58
Today daily open158.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20158.21
Daily SMA50157.18
Daily SMA100154.33
Daily SMA200148.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High158.66
Previous Daily Low158.01
Previous Weekly High158.52
Previous Weekly Low157
Previous Monthly High159.76
Previous Monthly Low155.53
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%158.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%158.26
Daily Pivot Point S1157.94
Daily Pivot Point S2157.65
Daily Pivot Point S3157.29
Daily Pivot Point R1158.58
Daily Pivot Point R2158.94
Daily Pivot Point R3159.23

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1400 on hawkish ECB expectations despite US-Iran tensions

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild gains around 1.1405 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. A hawkish tone from the European Central Bank provides some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. Traders await the upcoming ECB interest rate decision on Thursday. 

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 despite widening Mideast conflict

Gold hits two-week highs above $4,100 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The bright metal seems to ride the optimistic wave that diplomatic efforts are underway. However, concerns about energy-driven inflation risks continue to fuel Fed rate-hike bets. They could act as a tailwind for the US Dollar amid widening US-Iran tensions, which, in turn, could cap the bullion.

The market runs back into AI despite higher Oil and yields
World stocks surged as traders made a spirited return to the market’s commanding centre of gravity, piling back into semiconductors, AI leaders and momentum, with the enthusiasm of a crowd rushing through the one door it still trusts. The Nasdaq led Wall Street higher, semiconductor shares jumped more than 5%, and momentum staged its strongest rebound in years.
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.