|

EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Ends the week bearishly, tumbles below 160.00

  • EUR/JPY records significant weekly losses, closing down by more than 2.20%.
  • A key focus for traders is the Ichimoku Cloud support around the 158.00 level, which could accelerate the downtrend toward 154.00.
  • For a shift back to bullish resumption, EUR/JPY must reclaim the Kijun-Sen at 161.00 and surpass the recent cycle low at 161.24, with the Tenkan-Sen at 161.68 up next.

The EUR/JPY closed the week with a negative tone, down by 1% on Friday, for a total of more than 2.20% weekly losses, and shifts bearish after breaking key support levels on Friday. At the time of writing, the EUR/JPY exchanges hands at 159.73, following a fall of more than 160 pips from a daily high of 161.77.

The pair shifted bearish, though it’s pending breaching support at the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), at around the 158.00 area. Once the EUR/JPY extends its losses below that price level, sellers will target the October 3 swing low of 154.34, ahead of the July 28 low of 151.40

On the other hand, EUR/JPY needs to reclaim the Kijun-Sen at 161.00 before challenging the most recent cycle low at 161.24, the November 21 low. If those levels are surrendered, the next stop would e the Tenkan-sen at 161.68.

EUR/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Technical Levels

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price159.7
Today Daily Change-1.66
Today Daily Change %-1.03
Today daily open161.36
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.27
Daily SMA50159.75
Daily SMA100158.6
Daily SMA200153.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High161.94
Previous Daily Low160.6
Previous Weekly High163.66
Previous Weekly Low161.25
Previous Monthly High164.31
Previous Monthly Low159.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.11
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.43
Daily Pivot Point S1160.66
Daily Pivot Point S2159.95
Daily Pivot Point S3159.31
Daily Pivot Point R1162
Daily Pivot Point R2162.65
Daily Pivot Point R3163.35

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).