|

EUR/JPY declines amid mixed Eurozone data, Japan's fiscal uncertainties

  • EUR/JPY edges lower on Friday as Eurozone economic data comes out mixed.
  • Investors await Germany’s preliminary inflation report, while earlier consumption and price figures show a heterogeneous trend.
  • The Japanese Yen remains supported by concerns over Japan’s fiscal outlook, despite stronger-than-expected inflation in Tokyo.

EUR/JPY trades slightly lower on Friday, around 180.85, down 0.20% at the time of writing. The pair extends its corrective move, pressured by mixed European statistics and renewed interest in the Japanese Yen (JPY), even as uncertainty around Japan’s monetary policy persists.

In the Eurozone, uneven data weigh on the Euro (EUR). Retail Sales for October unexpectedly declined, while the Import Price Index came in above forecasts. In France, third-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) held steady at 0.5%, confirming the preliminary estimate. In contrast, the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained unchanged at 0.8%, contrary to expectations of stronger price pressures.

In Germany, data released earlier on Friday show that consumption remains fragile: Retail Sales fell 0.3% in October, while economists were expecting a 0.2% increase. Year-on-year, sales rose 0.9%, slightly above September’s revised figure. The Import Price Index contracted 1.4% YoY, below expectations, and the monthly reading came in at 0.2%. Investors now await the preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for November, expected to rise modestly to 2.4% YoY.

In Japan, the Japanese Yen still struggles to attract strong buying interest. Uncertainty surrounding the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy path clouds the outlook, even though fresh Tokyo data strengthen the case for gradual tightening.

Inflation in Japan’s capital rose more than expected. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 2.7% YoY in November, while the core measure excluding fresh food and energy held at 2.8%. These figures confirm persistent price pressures and support expectations for policy normalization.

However, growing concerns about Japan’s worsening fiscal situation limit the Japanese Yen’s upside. Reports of increased issuance of government Bonds to fund Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s stimulus package pushed Japanese government Bond yields higher, reviving doubts over the country’s fiscal sustainability.

At the same time, improving market sentiment, supported by expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts and hopes of progress toward a Russia-Ukraine peace agreement, also reduces safe-haven demand for the JPY.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.24%0.22%-0.03%0.07%0.09%0.21%0.14%
EUR-0.24%-0.03%-0.24%-0.18%-0.15%-0.03%-0.10%
GBP-0.22%0.03%-0.23%-0.14%-0.15%-0.01%-0.07%
JPY0.03%0.24%0.23%0.09%0.11%0.21%0.14%
CAD-0.07%0.18%0.14%-0.09%0.02%0.12%0.04%
AUD-0.09%0.15%0.15%-0.11%-0.02%0.11%0.02%
NZD-0.21%0.03%0.00%-0.21%-0.12%-0.11%-0.07%
CHF-0.14%0.10%0.07%-0.14%-0.04%-0.02%0.07%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rally loses steam despite steady ETF inflows

Bitcoin is back below $80,000 at the time of writing on Friday, after a second attempt at breaking resistance between $81,000 and $82,000. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Ripple mirror Bitcoin’s cooling trend, with ETH sliding to $2,500 and XRP falling toward $1.40 support.

Week ahead – RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP

Dollar rebounds ahead of ISM PMI and NFP data. RBNZ is expected to raise rates; focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC is set to remain on hold; will it raise rates in 2027?

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.