EUR/GBP juggles around 0.8620 after a corrective move, ECB policy eyed
- EUR/GBP is auctioning in a minute range as ECB policy hogs the limelight.
- ECB’s Nagel has advocated for a strong rate hike announcement in September.
- UK’s long-term inflation expectations are seen at 4.8% vs. BOE’s target of 2%.
The EUR/GBP pair is displaying a balanced market profile after delivering a corrective move from Thursday’s high at 0.8670. The asset is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.8608-0.8618 and a make-or-break move is expected ahead as investors are shifting their focus towards the interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB) next week.
As price pressures have skyrocketed in the Eurozone region amid soaring energy bills after supply cuts by Russia, the ECB is bound to discuss a jumbo rate hike to cool down the red-hot inflation. ECB’s Governing Council member and German central bank head Joachim Nagel on Wednesday cited that the ECB “urgently needs to act decisively next week,” He further added that “We need a strong rate hike in September,”
Investors should be aware of the fact that Eurozone inflation has crossed the whooping figure of 9% comfortably and is expected to remain on the elevated side as the energy crisis is expected to dampen further. As the winter season is standing at doors and leads to more energy consumption, energy prices will scale much higher. Hopefully, September 2 remains the last day of energy supply cuts to Germany as Nord Stream 1 went under unscheduled maintenance for three days.
On the UK front, soaring price pressures are haunting the pound bulls. The bank of England (BOE) is continuously hiking interest rates to fix the inflation chaos, however, the inflation rate is not responding at all to the restrictive monetary policies. As per a Citi survey, long-term inflation expectations are seen at 4.8%, which is extremely higher than the desired rate of 2%.
Author
Sagar Dua
FXStreet
Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.
