|

EUR/GBP drops to near 0.8600 as Truss is set to become next UK PM, ECB policy buzz

  • EUR/GBP has declined to near 0.8600 on novel UK leadership.
  • Eurozone energy crisis has deepened as Russia has cut-off energy supplies amid western sanctions.
  • The ECB is set to announce one more rate hike this week as HICP has been recorded at 9.1%.

The EUR/GBP pair has slipped to near the critical support of 0.8600 in the early Asian session. The asset is declining at a decent pace after facing barricades around Thursday’s high at 0.8670. The cross has surrendered the crucial support of 0.8610 and has triggered a bearish reversal.

Investors should brace for more downside in the asset as Liz Truss’s win in the Conservative Party leadership election has infused an adrenaline rush into the pound bulls. The sterling was facing the headwinds of soaring energy prices, runaway inflation rate, and political instability after the resignation of ex-UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Well, energy prices are still volatile, however, a novel UK leadership in the selection of Liz Truss as the next UK PM has trimmed the political risk.

As energy prices have turned extremely volatile amid Russia’s supply cuts, Britain's largest energy supplier Centrica Plc is in talks to secure billions of pounds in extra credit from banks to meet soaring collateral demands, per Financial Times. Soaring energy prices are a major concern for the UK economy as it is highly responsible for accelerating inflationary pressures.

The Eurozone economy is also a victim of wild gyrates in energy prices. Russia has cut off the energy supply to Germany from the Baltic Sea after citing leakage issues. However, a follow-up statement by Kremlin, citing western sanctions responsible for supply cuts from Nord Stream 1 pipeline has deepened the energy crisis in the trading bloc. Winter is coming and energy demand will accelerate sharply, which will weigh more pressure on energy stockpiles and increase energy rates.

Apart from the energy issues, investors are keeping an eye interest rate decision by the European Central Bank (ECB), due on Thursday. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to increase its interest rates by 50 basis points (bps). ECB’s preferred inflation measure, Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) has crossed the whooping figure of 9% and it is required to get tamed sooner.

EUR/GBP

Overview
Today last price0.8606
Today Daily Change-0.0044
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open0.865
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8497
Daily SMA500.8488
Daily SMA1000.8496
Daily SMA2000.8444
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8677
Previous Daily Low0.8612
Previous Weekly High0.8677
Previous Weekly Low0.8487
Previous Monthly High0.8653
Previous Monthly Low0.834
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8652
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8637
Daily Pivot Point S10.8608
Daily Pivot Point S20.8592
Daily Pivot Point S30.8569
Daily Pivot Point R10.8647
Daily Pivot Point R20.867
Daily Pivot Point R30.8686

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).