|

EUR/GBP declines to and below 0.8300 – Danske Bank

EUR/GBP declined close to the 0.8300 mark during yesterday's session. GBP FX is in for an eventful week packed with macro data releases , Danske Bank's FX analyst Mohamad Al-Saraf reports.

EUR/GBP to trade lower in weeks to come

"This morning, we get the labour market report for December/January. Consensus expects a pick up in wage growth and unemployment to rise to 4.5% from 4.4%. Payrolls have come in to the weak side the past months and vacancies have edged lower with surveys indicating a further weakening in labour demand."

"We think the BoE is set for the next cut in May. We also published a note on how the notion of US tariffs affects the UK and by extension GBP. Overall, the UK looks better insulated against possible US tariffs on UK goods than the euro area."

"The UK mainly exports services to the US, it does not have a big US-trade deficit and US President Trump has a better relationship with UK PM Starmer. We think this favours GBP vs EUR, supporting our strategically bearish view on EUR/GBP."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades around 1.1700 after rebounding from 50-day EMA

EUR/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a potential for a bearish bias; the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47 confirms waning momentum.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3500 as US Dollar weakens ahead of ISM Services PMI

GBP/USD gains some ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar struggles ahead of the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index and JOLTs job openings due later in the day.

Gold pulls back from $4,500 amid profit-taking ahead of key US macro data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong weekly gains registered over the past two days and faces rejection near the $4,500 psychological mark, or over a one-week high touched during the Asian session on Wednesday. As investors digest the recent US attack on Venezuela, the prevalent risk-on environment prompts some profit-taking around the commodity. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple cool off as rally stalls near key resistance zones

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices are taking a breather on Wednesday near their key resistance levels following the recent surge. BTC faces rejection at the $94,253 level, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s footsteps, struggling near $3,308 and $2.35, respectively.

Implications of US intervention in Venezuela

Events in Venezuela are top of mind for market participants, and while developments are associated with an elevated degree of uncertainty, we are not making any changes to our markets or economic forecasts as a result of the deposition of Nicolás Maduro. 

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE eyes bullish breakout as on-chain and derivatives data turns supportive

Aave (AAVE) price hovers around $172 on Wednesday, nearing the upper trendline of the falling parallel channel pattern. A break above this technical pattern favors the bulls.