Elliott Wave analysis: Will S&P 500 futures (ES) form five waves to provide market clarity? [Video]

The short-term Elliott Wave analysis for S&P 500 Futures (ES) suggests that the rally from the April 7, 2025 low is progressing as a five-wave impulse pattern, a hallmark of Elliott Wave theory indicating a strong directional trend. Starting from the low, wave 1 advanced to a peak of 5285.5, followed by a corrective wave 2 pullback to 4871.75. Subsequently, the index surged in wave 3, exhibiting a nested sub-structure characteristic of strong bullish momentum. Within wave 3, sub-wave ((i)) reached 5528.75, followed by a shallow sub-wave ((ii)) correction to 5127.25. The index then climbed sharply to 5724.75 in sub-wave ((iii)), with a brief sub-wave ((iv)) pullback to 5596. The final sub-wave ((v)) concluded at 5993.5, completing wave 3 on the 1-hour chart, marking a significant bullish phase.

Wave 4 developed as a zigzag corrective structure, typical for balancing overbought conditions. From the wave 3 high, sub-wave ((a)) declined to 5828.75, followed by a sub-wave ((b)) rebound to 5895. Sub-wave ((c)) then dropped to 5756.5, finalizing wave 4. The index has since turned higher, initiating wave 5. As long as the critical pivot low at 5595.4 remains intact, expect pullbacks to attract buyers in 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective patterns, supporting further upside toward new highs.

S&P 500 futures (ES) 60-minute Elliott Wave technical chart

ES Elliott Wave technical [Video]