|

DXY: CPI report can be a binary risk – OCBC

US Dollar (USD) traded a touch firmer overnight, but the moves were well within recent range. DXY was last at 98.50 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Sideways trading in the interim

"Range-bound trade suggests that markets see little risk-reward in pre-positioning for trades ahead of a major data release. US CPI (830pm SGT) is potentially shaping up to be a binary event risk. Consensus looks for core CPI to print 3% y/y. Softer than expected US CPI may even tip markets to price in some chance of 50bp Fed cut in Sep. This can drag USD lower."

"But the USD risk going higher if CPI comes in much hotter-than-expected, reflecting tariff passthrough effects. This week, we hear from Fed’s Barkin, Schmid and Goolsbee (on a few separate occasions spread over Tuesday to Thursday)."

"On data, apart from US CPI tonight, Thu has PPI while Fri has retail sales and inflation expectations. Data releases this week and Fedspeaks may shape expectations on the trajectory of Fed cut. Daily momentum and RSI indicators are not showing a clear bias. Sideways trading in the interim. Support here at 98 levels, 97.20. Resistance at 99.40 (100 DMA), 100 levels."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 amid ECB rate hold expectations

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1730 during the early European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Nonetheless, the potential downside for the major pair might be limited amid the growing acceptance that the European Central Bank is done cutting interest rates. 

GBP/USD gains ground above 1.3400 on UK PMI optimism

The GBP/USD pair gains momentum to around 1.3425 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling edges higher against the Greenback on the upbeat UK preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index data. Traders will take more cues from the Fedspeak later on Wednesday. 

Gold advances to near seven-week highs amid US labor market cooling

Gold price extends its upside to near seven-week highs above $4,300 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the US labor market remains relatively resilient but shows signs of slowing. The mixed US employment report for November reinforces bets of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and weighs on the US Dollar.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.