|

Dow Jones futures edge higher on upbeat Netflix’s earnings, Michigan sentiment data eyed

  • Dow Jones futures tick up on strong second-quarter earnings show from streaming giant Netflix.
  • Investors await quarter earnings from American Express and 3M, and flash Michigan sentiment data for July.
  • The Fed is almost certain to hold interest rates steady in the policy meeting later this month.

Dow Jones futures trade marginally higher during the European trading session, extend its winning streak for the third trading day on Friday. United States (US) equities are buoyed by strong second-quarter earnings show from the streaming platform company Netflix.

At the time of writing, Dow30 futures ticks up 0.13% to near 44,550, S&P 500 futures gain six points and rises above 6,300.

During closed market hours, the streaming giant trades 1.9% higher to near $1,274. Revenues and Profit After Tax (PAT) margins of the company beat estimates, according to CNBC. “Year-over-year revenue growth was primarily a function of more members, higher subscription pricing and increased ad revenue,” the company said in a statement. Additionally, the firm has also raised revenue guidance for the current year to a range between $44.8 billion and $45.2 billion, slightly higher from $43.5-$44.5 billion, which it delivered in letter to shareholders following results of last quarter of 2024.

In Friday’s session, investors will closely monitor quarterly earnings from American Express and 2M.

Meanwhile, stronger-than-projected Retail Sales data for June has also improved demand for US equities. The Retail Sales data, a key measure of consumer spending, rose at a faster pace of 0.6% on month, compared to estimates of 0.1%. Upbeat US Retail Sales data signaled that the tariff-driven inflation has failed to restrict households’ spendings. In May, the consumer spending measure declined by 0.9%.

Going forward, market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook will remain a key driver for the US indices.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability for the Fed to cut interest rates in the September meeting has reduced to 58% from 70.4% seen a week ago. The tool also shows that the Fed is almost certain to leave interest rates steady in the range of 4.25%-4.50% in the policy meeting later this month.

Contrary to market expectations, Fed Governor Christopher Waller continues to argue in favor of reducing interest rates in the July policy meeting, citing downside risks to economy and labor market. “The Fed should cut interest rates 25 basis points at July meeting as rising risks to economy and employment favour easing policy rate,” Waller said.

On the data front, investors await preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) data for July, which will be published at 14:00 GMT. The sentiment data is expected to have improved slightly to 61.5 from 60.7 in June, a scenario that is favorable for demand of US equities.

Economic Indicator

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, released on a monthly basis by the University of Michigan, is a survey gauging sentiment among consumers in the United States. The questions cover three broad areas: personal finances, business conditions and buying conditions. The data shows a picture of whether or not consumers are willing to spend money, a key factor as consumer spending is a major driver of the US economy. The University of Michigan survey has proven to be an accurate indicator of the future course of the US economy. The survey publishes a preliminary, mid-month reading and a final print at the end of the month. Generally, a high reading is bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Fri Jul 18, 2025 14:00 (Prel)

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 61.5

Previous: 60.7

Source: University of Michigan

Consumer exuberance can translate into greater spending and faster economic growth, implying a stronger labor market and a potential pick-up in inflation, helping turn the Fed hawkish. This survey’s popularity among analysts (mentioned more frequently than CB Consumer Confidence) is justified because the data here includes interviews conducted up to a day or two before the official release, making it a timely measure of consumer mood, but foremost because it gauges consumer attitudes on financial and income situations. Actual figures beating consensus tend to be USD bullish.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD seems fragile below 1.1700 as Middle East war boosts energy prices

The EUR/USD pair trades flat at around 1.1680 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but broadly seems vulnerable, being close to its five-week low. The major currency pair is under pressure as surging oil prices due to the United States-Israel war with Iran have increased the risks of higher inflation for the Old Continent.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3400 with bearish pressure intact

GBP/USD edges higher after three days of losses, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains above $5,350 amid sustained safe-haven demand; firmer USD caps gains

Gold sticks to its positive bias for the third straight day and trades above the $5,350 level heading into the European session on Tuesday. Concerns about a broader regional conflict in the Middle East continue to weigh on investors' sentiment and underpin demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion.

Stellar risks deeper losses as derivatives metrics turn negative

Stellar is trading red below $0.16 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight recovery the previous day. Weakening derivatives data caps the recovery, while an unfavorable technical outlook projects a deeper correction for the XLM token in the upcoming days.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.