|

Canada: Record exports and lower imports in April - NBF

Jocelyn Paquet, analyst at National Bank of Canada, noted that Canadian exports reached a record month in April and trade tensions with the US so far have not impacted on bilateral trade.

Key Quotes:

“Canada’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed from C$3.9bn in March to C$1.9bn in April. The smaller deficit was the result of a 1.6% jump in nominal exports and a 2.5% retreat in nominal imports.”

“April’s trade report showed Canada’s merchandise trade deficit shrinking to its lowest level in six months, thanks in large part to a drop in imports. To some, the latter pullback may be the sign of fading demand from Canadian consumers but we take comfort from the fact that this lackluster result came after the largest expansion in 16 months in March.”

“Better to focus on the positive, such as the rise in exports to a record level during the month or the fact that goods trade looks set to contribute to growth in Q2 for the first time in a year.”

“Up to now, the vagaries of the U.S. administration don’t seem to have overly impacted bilateral trade with our southern neighbor. Quite to the contrary, total merchandise trade with the U.S., i.e. exports plus imports, reached an all-time high of C$68.6bn in April.”

“But the situation could quickly take a turn for the worse, especially following the recent imposition of tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum exports to the U.S. which do not make things easier for negotiators of a revamped NAFTA.”

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD remains confined in a range above mid-1.3300s ahead of UK jobs report

The GBP/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Tuesday and currently trades around the 1.3370-1.3365 region, nearly unchanged for the day. Traders seem reluctant and opt to wait for this week's important macro releases and the key central bank event risk before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold defends $4,300 as focus shifts to US NFP, PMI data

Gold price holds the $4,300 level, easing from the highest since October 21 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal stays afloat on further US Federal Reserve rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.