|

BoJ’s Uchida: Japan is now at a phase where it's important to patiently maintain easy policy

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said early Wednesday, “Japan is now at a phase where it's important to patiently maintain easy policy.”

Additional quotes

At present, risk of losing chance to hit price target with premature shift from easy policy is bigger than risk of being too late in tightening.

There is still quite a long distance before conditions fall in place to raise short-term rate target.

BoJ will maintain policy framework as we have yet to see inflation sustainably, stably hit price target.

Every policy has cost, there is no free lunch.

As we control interest rates, the impact on market function is unavoidable.

When inflation expectations heighten, the effect of monetary stimulus increases but so does the side-effects so we need to adjust both factors.

BoJ will offer to buy unlimited amount of bonds at 1.0% in fixed-rate operation to contain interest rate rises.

When the 10-year bond yield is moving between 0.5% and 1.0%, we will adjust amount of bond buying, use various operation tools to curb excessive yield rise in accordance to level, pace of moves in long-term rates.

Unlike in december last year, there is no clear side-effect, distortion in shape of yield curve.

There is high uncertainty over economic, price outlook both upside and downside.

Inflation expectations showing signs of re-accelerating.

If inflation expectations continue to heighten, rigidly capping 10-year jgb yield at 0.5% would cause bond market distortion, affect market volatility including for exchange rates.

Last week's decision was a pre-emptive step aimed at continuing monetary easing without disruptions

Timing for reviewing ycc would depend on conditions at the time, as responding after problems erupt would make it difficult to fix the problems.

 BoJ’s decision to make ycc more flexible is aimed at maintaining easy policy, not something with eye on exit from easy policy.

BoJ must fine-tune YCC at times, make the framework flexible, to ensure it can patiently sustain easy policy.

Will scrutinise whether wages will rise sufficiently and underpin consumption, and whether wage hikes will become embedded in japan's society next year and beyond.

We are seeing some signs of change in corporate wage, price-setting behaviour.

Even if inflation overshoots, chance of wages rising sharply and triggering further price rises is not big.

Market reaction

At the time of writing, USD/JPY is holding its recovery mode above 143.00, trading at 143.11, still down 0.16% on the day.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.