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BOJ’s Amamiya: Central bank must support economy with monetary easing as recovery not solid

Bank of Japan (BOJ) must support the economy with monetary easing as recovery is not solid and wage development remains uncertain, the central bank Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya said on Thursday.

Additional comments

We are aiming to achieve average 2% inflation, not a temporary rise to that level.

We will judge sustainability of inflation, looking comprehensively at various indicators, price outlook, output gap, inflation expectations and wage moves.

What's important is to create positive cycle where wages, inflation rise simultaneously.

Japan's real interest rates are falling as households' inflation expectations heightening, while nominal rates are kept low.

We must not loosen our grip in keeping monetary conditions easy as there is no prospect yet of meeting our 2% inflation target sustainably.

BOJ will seek sustained, stable achievement of price target, accompanied by wage rises via easy monetary policy.

Consumption recovery becoming clearer but recent spike in covid inflation cases worrying.

Consumer sentiment worsening due to rising energy, food prices.

Corporate profits remain elevated as a whole due partly to impact of weak yen.

If raw material costs remain high for prolonged period, pace of wage rise may not catch up with that of inflation and could hurt economy, consumption.

BOJ must be vigilant to financial, forex moves and their impact on economy, prices.

Medium-term real interest rates are falling as a trend, which is enhancing the effect of our monetary easing.

Nominal wages must rise at a faster pace than inflation for consumption to increase sustainably.

Expect wages to rise at faster pace than consumer inflation next year given economic recovery, tightening job market.

Market reaction

USD/JPY accelerates its decline on the above comments, trading at 135.22, down 0.96% on the day. The spot lost over 100 pips in the last hour, as the post-Fed sell-off extends.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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