|

BoE’s Lombardelli: Caution remains appropriate

Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy Clare Lombardelli said on Monday, “caution remains appropriate” on policy outlook.

Additional quotes

  • Evidence suggests that policy is still restrictive.
  • Wage growth is still too high for on target inflation.
  • Wages are my main focus when looking for disinflation.
  • Further gradual disinflation progress and trade developments made 25 basis points (bps) rate cut appropriate.
  • Latest US-China discussions are good news, if reports are accurate.
  • Progress on domestic inflation, not US tariffs, was the main factor behind my rate vote.
  • Trade policy uncertainty will continue until there's a permanent solution.
  • UK GDP data is volatile, makes it hard to gauge if weakness is due to demand or supply.

Market reaction

The Pound Sterling sellers remain undeterred by these above comments, with GBP/USD losing 1% on the day to trade near 1.3170 as of writing.

BoE FAQs

The Bank of England (BoE) decides monetary policy for the United Kingdom. Its primary goal is to achieve ‘price stability’, or a steady inflation rate of 2%. Its tool for achieving this is via the adjustment of base lending rates. The BoE sets the rate at which it lends to commercial banks and banks lend to each other, determining the level of interest rates in the economy overall. This also impacts the value of the Pound Sterling (GBP).

When inflation is above the Bank of England’s target it responds by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is positive for the Pound Sterling because higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls below target, it is a sign economic growth is slowing, and the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit in the hope businesses will borrow to invest in growth-generating projects – a negative for the Pound Sterling.

In extreme situations, the Bank of England can enact a policy called Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the BoE substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. QE is a last resort policy when lowering interest rates will not achieve the necessary result. The process of QE involves the BoE printing money to buy assets – usually government or AAA-rated corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Pound Sterling.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE, enacted when the economy is strengthening and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Bank of England (BoE) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to encourage them to lend; in QT, the BoE stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive for the Pound Sterling.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds losses below 1.3400 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

GBP/USD finds some support near 1.3370 after a modest gap-down opening, though it lacks bullish conviction and remains below 1.3400. The pair suffers from a return of haven demand for the US Dollar amid renewed US-Iran military attacks and the resultant closure of the Strait of Hormuz. All eyes remain on Mideast updates and central bank talks.


EUR/USD battles 1.1400 amid USD strength, Iran risks

EUR/USD stays defensively close to 1.1400 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces headwinds as the US Dollar starts the week on a strong note on increased safe-haven appeal, following the weekend escalation between the US and Iran. However, hawkish ECB expectations limit the major's downside ahead of speeches from the Fed and ECB policymakers.

Gold seems vulnerable amid Iran risks reviving inflation fears, Fed hike bets

Gold maintains its offered tone through the Asian session, and currently trades just above $4,050, down nearly 1.40% for the day. A further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, along with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, lifts crude oil prices and revives inflation fears. This, in turn, bolsters expectations of higher interest rates by the US Federal Reserve, which benefits the safe-haven US Dollar, and drives flows away from the bullion.

Cardano: Ongoing whale accumulation fails to halt downward  correction

Cardano (ADA) extends its losses, trading below $$0.160 after falling over 14% in the previous week. Despite on-chain data showing continued accumulation by whales, the buying activity has failed to lift prices. Meanwhile, bearish derivatives metrics and a weakening technical outlook indicate further downside for ADA.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too
It’s been more than a month since Kevin Warsh took over as head of the Federal Reserve but after one FOMC meeting and two public appearances later, investors are still trying to gauge where the new chair sits on the dove-hawk scale.
Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.