|

BoC still plans to take rates back to neutral - Westpac

In view of Richard Franulovich, head of FX strategy at Westpac, BoC still plans to take rates back to neutral but they have materially scaled back their optimistic outlook for the economy.

Key Quotes

“The BoC have revised their slack estimates too, adding to the lack of urgency, the Bank noting, "Downward historical revisions by Statistics Canada to GDP, together with recent macroeconomic developments, indicate there may be additional room for noninflationary growth".”

“A BoC hike in January 2019 is now doubtful as is our base case for four hikes through to end-2019. We jettison our constructive CAD view, USD/CAD near term risks skewed to a test of 1.37- 1.38.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1850 after dismal German ZEW data

EUR/USD remains in the red near 1.1850 in the European session on Tuesday. A broad US Dollar bullish consolidation combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD holds losees near 1.3600 after weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD is holding moderate losses near the 1.3600 level in Tuesday's European trading. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month. This narrative keeps the Pound Sterling under bearish pressure. 

Gold pares intraday losses; keeps the red above $4,900 amid receding safe-haven demand

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and dives to over a one-week low, around the $4,858 area, heading into the European session on Tuesday. 

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.