|

Australia Treasury bond yields trace global peers to grind higher ahead of Aussie inflation

  • Australian Treasury bond yields remain firmer two-day rebound from the lowest levels since August 2022.
  • Downbeat Aussie Retail Sales contrast, review of how global banking crisis affects Australia prods bond buyers.
  • Australia's Monthly CPI is expected to ease to 7.2% YoY in February, suggesting more hardships for RBA hawks.

Australia bond markets continue witnessing the week-start buying as traders brace for the key Aussie Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February on early Wednesday.

That said, the benchmark 10-year Australia Treasury bond yields seesaw around 3.53% after posting a two-day recovery from the lowest levels since August 2022, marked on the last Friday. On the same line, the two-year counterpart pokes the 3.10% level during its third consecutive day of rebound.

While tracing the clues of the latest recovery in the Aussie bond coupons the looming fears of a financial market check in Australia and downbeat Retail Sales gain major attention. However, the macro risk-on mood supersedes the woes amid the month-end positioning.

Talking about the Aussie data, the seasonally adjusted Retail Sales growth for February came in at 0.2% versus 0.4% market forecasts and 1.9% prior.

Alternatively, news that Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers will convene a meeting of the country's top financial regulators to check how the latest volatility in global financial markets could affect the country, an official in the treasurer's office said on Tuesday per Reuters, prod the optimism. On the same line could be the much-debated $5.4 million Credit Default Swap (CDS) trade of Deutsche Bank.

Moving on, Aussie bond traders will keep their eyes on the Monthly CPI for February, expected 7.1% YoY versus 7.4% prior, as downbeat Retail Sales and recently softer talks of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) suggest a pause in the rate hike trajectory.

Also read: AUD/USD bulls attack 0.6700 with eyes on Australia inflation data, banking news

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hangs close to 1.3500, awaits fresh impetus from US CPI

GBP/USD keeps its range around 1.3500 in Wednesday's European trading. The pair continues to trade with caution as the US Dollar (USD) holds ground ahead of a crucial US consumer inflation report. Investors are watching this upcoming reading closely, as it is expected to play a major role in shaping the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision and the USD valuation.

EUR/USD consolidates below 1.1550 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD struggles to gain any meaningful traction and holds steady around 1.1550 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, maintaining a familiar range held over the past week or so. Traders keenly await the release of the key US inflation data and further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold retakes $4,400, eyes two-month high as traders look to US CPI for Fed hike cues

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday and climbs back above the $4,400 mark, closer to its highest level since June 5, which was touched the previous day. Traders now look to the US Consumer Price Index report for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's future policy path amid inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices.

Zcash below $500 puts bulls under pressure, 100-day EMA in focus

Zcash price trades below $500 at press time on Wednesday, holding steady after two consecutive days of losses. Retail demand for the privacy coin is mixed as the broader market awaits the release of US Consumer Price Index data for July later in the day.

US CPI data set to show softer inflation in July as markets reassess Fed rate hike bets

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the July Consumer Price Index data on Wednesday. The report is expected to show a small decline in consumer inflation and core inflation. The monthly CPI is forecast to rise by 0.1%, following the 0.4% decrease recorded in June, while the annual reading is seen retreating to 3.4% from 3.5% reported in the previous month.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.