|

Australia: Lowest real retail growth since 2012 – ANZ

ANZ analysts point out that for the Australian economy, there is a surprise decline in real quarterly sales in this quarter, which represents the lowest q/q growth in real retail sales since September 2012 (and lowest y/y since 2011) and continuing a negative volume growth downward trend in retail volumes from the past year.

Key Quotes

“Retail sales grew 0.3% m/m in March, slightly stronger than our and the market’s expectations. This brought quarterly sales growth to 1.3%, which is a slightly stronger result, in nominal terms, than recent quarters.”

“Volume growth was negative, at -0.1% q/q – the lowest volume growth since September 2012. High food price inflation explains the divergence between nominal and real growth.”

“Retail volume growth has been below the long-term average for the last couple of years and has declined y/y for the last few quarters. Volumes of household goods and department store goods fell during the March quarter, while clothing and other goods both increased by 0.3%.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

More from Sandeep Kanihama
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets some support near 1.1670

EUR/USD further extends its bearish leg on Wednesday, coming under extra pressure and breaching below the 1.1700 level to flirt with four-week troughs in a context of marginal gains in the US Dollar ahead of the key US NFP on Friday.

GBP/USD deflates to daily lows near 1.3470

GBP/USD stays under pressure on Wednesday, dipping to fresh lows around 1.3470 and extending the pullback that began the previous session. Cable remains on the defensive, with the US Dollar nudging slightly higher in the wake of key US December data.

Gold remains offered near $4,450

Gold remains on the back foot on Wednesday, hovering around $4,450 per troy ounce after bringing a three-day rally to an end. The metal’s advance seems to have run out of steam near the $4,500 area, with a firmer US Dollar after key US data weighing on prices. Still, the downside looks limited for now, thanks to falling US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP faces selling pressure as key on-chain metric resets and ETF inflows weaken

Ripple (XRP) is trading downward but holding support at $2.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as fear spreads across the cryptocurrency market, reversing gains made from the start of the year.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP battles selling pressure as profit-taking, ETF inflows shape outlook

Ripple (XRP) is trading downward but holding support at $2.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as fear spreads across the cryptocurrency market, reversing gains made from the start of the year.