AUD/USD: We continue to see compelling reasons to be short – Morgan Stanley

Anil Panchal FXStreet

Although AUD/USD bounces off a yearly low, snapping a four-day downtrend, Morgan Stanley stays bearish on the Aussie currency pair, targeting 0.7000 with a stop-loss point of 0.7800.

Additional details

Markets are pricing in excessive RBA hawkishness, with liftoff now fully priced for July 2022, compared to RBA guidance for 2024.

Higher US real yields and tighter breakevens suggest a weaker AUD. COVID-19 risks remain asymmetrically negative in Australia, particularly with the more transmissible Delta variant.

Rising concerns about global growth (as evident in the distribution of equity returns) should be AUD/USD-negative

That being said, AUD/USD fades recovery moves by the press time, around 0.7330, of early Wednesday.

Read: AUD/USD: Bearish impulsive remains intact above 0.7300 ahead of Aussie Retail Sales

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

EUR/USD gathers traction, approaches 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to reverse Tuesday’s pullback, advancing to two-day highs near the 1.1800 hurdle in the latter part of Wednesday’s session. The pair’s decent uptick comes on the back of the modest retracement in the US Dollar, as investors continue to closely follow developments on the trade front and news from the White House in the wake of President Trump’s SOTU speech.

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP test rebound strength as ETF inflows return

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are gaining traction at the time of writing on Wednesday, amid persistent market doldrums. The Crypto King is up over 2% intraday, trading above $65,000 from the day’s opening of $64,058.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.