AUD/USD technical analysis: Teasing flag breakdown on Sino-US tensions


  • AUD/USD is flashing red on escalating Sino-US trade tensions and flight to safety. 
  • The currency pair is teasing a bear flag breakdown – a bearish continuation pattern. 

The AUD/USD pair is reporting losses for the third straight day, possibly due to the Sino-US political friction and a weaker daily Yuan fix by the People's Bank of China (PBOC).

The US House of Representatives on Tuesday approved a bill related to human rights in Hong Kong, moving the Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act of 2019 a step closer to becoming law.

Beijing has responded by urging Washington to refrain from interfering in its internal matters and has also warned retaliation against the US policy.

Risk assets, therefore, have come under pressure and the safe havens like the Japanese Yen and Gold are flashing green.

Further, the PBOC cut yuan's fixing by 38 pips to 7.0746 per USD, possibly adding to the bearish pressures around the AUD.

As of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading at 0.6738, representing 0.20% losses on the day. Notably, the pair is flirting with the lower edge of the bear flag on the daily chart.

A close below 0.6737 would confirm a bear flag breakdown and create room for a drop to levels below 0.6520 (target as per the measured move method). On the way lower, the pair may find support at 0.6671 (Oct. 2 low).

The outlook would turn bullish if the pair rises above Friday's high of 0.6810.

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6737
Today Daily Change -0.0015
Today Daily Change % -0.22
Today daily open 0.6752
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6758
Daily SMA50 0.6778
Daily SMA100 0.6863
Daily SMA200 0.6976
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.679
Previous Daily Low 0.6742
Previous Weekly High 0.6811
Previous Weekly Low 0.6704
Previous Monthly High 0.6895
Previous Monthly Low 0.6687
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.676
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6771
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6733
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6713
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6684
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6781
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.681
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.683

 

 

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