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AUD/USD technical analysis: Bears await a sustained break below 0.6800 neckline support

  • Remains depressed despite growing optimism over a partial US-China trade deal.
  • The recent failure constituted towards the formation of a bearish double-top pattern.

The AUD/USD pair struggled for a firm directional bias and seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses on the first day of a new trading week, shrugging off growing US-China trade optimism.
 
From a technical perspective, the pair’s recent pullback from the 0.6880-90 supply zone seemed to have constituted towards the formation of a bearish double-top pattern on the daily chart.
 
The pullback, however, stalled just ahead of the 0.6800 neckline support, which if broken will confirm the bearish formation and set the stage for a further near-term depreciating move.
 
Meanwhile, technical indicators on hourly charts have been gaining negative traction but maintained their bullish bias on the daily chart, which seemed to be the only factor lending some support.
 
Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained breakthrough the mentioned support before placing any aggressive bearish bets and positioning for a slide towards mid-0.6700s support area.
 
On the flip side, the 0.6855 region – marking 100-day SMA – now becomes immediate strong resistance and is followed by the 0.6880-90 hurdle, which if cleared might negate the bearish set-up.
 
Sustained strength beyond the 0.6900 handle might prompt some additional short-covering move towards the key 0.70 psychological mark with some intermediate resistance near the 0.6930 region.

AUD/USD daily chart

fxsoriginal

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6816
Today Daily Change-0.0006
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open0.6822
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6779
Daily SMA500.6787
Daily SMA1000.6852
Daily SMA2000.6962
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6837
Previous Daily Low0.6808
Previous Weekly High0.6884
Previous Weekly Low0.6808
Previous Monthly High0.6895
Previous Monthly Low0.6687
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6826
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6819
Daily Pivot Point S10.6808
Daily Pivot Point S20.6793
Daily Pivot Point S30.6779
Daily Pivot Point R10.6837
Daily Pivot Point R20.6851
Daily Pivot Point R30.6866

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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