|

AUD/USD technical analysis: 23.6% Fibo. caps upside after Aussie building permits

  • AUD/USD remains below 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on sluggish Aussie housing data.
  • Mid-June low and the yearly bottom flash on bears’ watch-list.

With the June month Aussie housing data declining below forecasts, the AUD/USD pair drops to the intra-day low of 0.6896 during early Tuesday.

Australian Building Permits slip beneath -1.0% and -24.3% respective forecasts for MoM and YoY by registering -1.2% and -25.6% figures.

As a result, June 17/18 highs around 0.6885/80 remains on sellers’ radar with the June month low of 0.6831 being the next target.

However, depleting conditions of 14-day relative strength index (RSI) might disturb further declines. If not, then January bottom surrounding 0.6684 will become bears’ favorite.

Alternatively, an upside clearance of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of April – June downpour, at 0.6920, can trigger the pair’s fresh recovery towards July 25 low near 0.6942 and then to 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) level near 0.6970.

AUD/USD daily chart

Trend: Bearish

    1. R3 0.6937
    2. R2  0.6927
    3. R1  0.6914
  1. PP  0.6904
    1. S1  0.6891
    2. S2  0.6881
    3. S3  0.6868

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 in quiet session

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day holiday. 

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.