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AUD/USD struggles to extend early gains on decline in Australia's Unemployment Rate

  • Upbeat Aussie Unemployment rate fails to draw stronger bids for AUD/USD. 
  • However, jobs growth slowed in January, taking the shine off the decline in the jobless rate.
  • The pair remains vulnerable to a continued rise in Treasury yields.

A bigger-than-expected drop in Australia's jobless rate struggles to draw more substantial buying pressure for the commodity-sensitive Aussie dollar. The pair clocked a high of 0.7764 soon before the data release and was last seen trading at 0.7762, having hit a low of 0.7724 on Wednesday. 

Australia's jobless rate dipped to 6.4% in January, versus expectations for a drop to 6.5% from December's 6.6%. However, the economy added 29.1K jobs in January versus expectations for 40K additions, marking a slowdown from December's job growth of 50K. Fulltime Employment rose 59K in January versus 35.7K in December. 

The decline in the jobless rate is likely being overshadowed by the slowdown in the job growth and keeping buyers from putting a strong bid under the AUD. 

Nevertheless, the path of least resistance appears to be on the higher side given the expectations of a new commodities boom driven by a rebounding global economy, massive stimulus, and supply shortages. Copper, oil, and other commodities have already rallied to multi-month highs in recent days, lending support to the Aussie dollar. 

However, a continued rise in the US 10-year Treasury note may complicate matters for AUD/USD bulls. The benchmark yield has risen by 20 basis points this month on the back of rising oil prices and upbeat US data. It is trading at 1.26% at press time, having declined from 1.33% to 1.27% on Wednesday. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7762
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open0.7752
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7701
Daily SMA500.7675
Daily SMA1000.7453
Daily SMA2000.7239
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7772
Previous Daily Low0.7724
Previous Weekly High0.7773
Previous Weekly Low0.765
Previous Monthly High0.782
Previous Monthly Low0.7592
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7742
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7753
Daily Pivot Point S10.7726
Daily Pivot Point S20.7701
Daily Pivot Point S30.7678
Daily Pivot Point R10.7775
Daily Pivot Point R20.7798
Daily Pivot Point R30.7824

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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