|

AUD/USD struggles to extend early gains on decline in Australia's Unemployment Rate

  • Upbeat Aussie Unemployment rate fails to draw stronger bids for AUD/USD. 
  • However, jobs growth slowed in January, taking the shine off the decline in the jobless rate.
  • The pair remains vulnerable to a continued rise in Treasury yields.

A bigger-than-expected drop in Australia's jobless rate struggles to draw more substantial buying pressure for the commodity-sensitive Aussie dollar. The pair clocked a high of 0.7764 soon before the data release and was last seen trading at 0.7762, having hit a low of 0.7724 on Wednesday. 

Australia's jobless rate dipped to 6.4% in January, versus expectations for a drop to 6.5% from December's 6.6%. However, the economy added 29.1K jobs in January versus expectations for 40K additions, marking a slowdown from December's job growth of 50K. Fulltime Employment rose 59K in January versus 35.7K in December. 

The decline in the jobless rate is likely being overshadowed by the slowdown in the job growth and keeping buyers from putting a strong bid under the AUD. 

Nevertheless, the path of least resistance appears to be on the higher side given the expectations of a new commodities boom driven by a rebounding global economy, massive stimulus, and supply shortages. Copper, oil, and other commodities have already rallied to multi-month highs in recent days, lending support to the Aussie dollar

However, a continued rise in the US 10-year Treasury note may complicate matters for AUD/USD bulls. The benchmark yield has risen by 20 basis points this month on the back of rising oil prices and upbeat US data. It is trading at 1.26% at press time, having declined from 1.33% to 1.27% on Wednesday. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7762
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open0.7752
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7701
Daily SMA500.7675
Daily SMA1000.7453
Daily SMA2000.7239
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7772
Previous Daily Low0.7724
Previous Weekly High0.7773
Previous Weekly Low0.765
Previous Monthly High0.782
Previous Monthly Low0.7592
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7742
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7753
Daily Pivot Point S10.7726
Daily Pivot Point S20.7701
Daily Pivot Point S30.7678
Daily Pivot Point R10.7775
Daily Pivot Point R20.7798
Daily Pivot Point R30.7824

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.