|

AUD/USD struggles near multi-week lows, just above mid-0.6700s

  • AUD/USD witnesses some follow-through selling on dismal aussie capex data.
  • Hong Kong tensions weighed on the risk sentiment and added to the selling bias.
  • The downside is likely to remain limited amid relatively thin liquidity conditions.

The AUD/USD pair dropped to fresh six-week tops during the Asian session on Thursday, albeit now seems to have found some support ahead of mid-0.6700s.

The pair added to the overnight losses and witnessed some follow-through selling on Thursday – marking its sixth day of a negative move in the previous seven – in reaction to dismal Aussie Capex data. In fact, Australia’s Private Capital Expenditure (Capex) declined more than expected, by 0.2% in third-quarter as compared to the previous quarter's downwardly revised reading of -0.6%.

Weighed down by a combination of factors

The latest disappointment from the domestic data further reinforced prospects for additional policy easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and added to the already weaker sentiment surrounding the Australian dollar. The latest optimism over a possible US-China trade deal faded rather quickly after the US President Donald Trump signed two bills supporting Hong Kong’s pro-democracy demonstrators.

The move was seen as derailing recent progress in trade talks between the world's two largest economies and weighed on the global risk sentiment. The same was evident from a softer tone around equity markets and exerted some additional downward pressure on the China-proxy aussie, though a subdued US dollar price action helped limit any deeper losses, at least for the time being.

Given that the US markets will remain closed on Thursday in observance of Thanksgiving Day, the incoming trade-related headlines might continue to influence the broader market risk sentiment and produce some meaningful trading opportunities around perceived riskier currencies – including the Australian dollar.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6766
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.16
Today daily open0.6777
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6835
Daily SMA500.6806
Daily SMA1000.6827
Daily SMA2000.6926
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6792
Previous Daily Low0.6771
Previous Weekly High0.6835
Previous Weekly Low0.678
Previous Monthly High0.693
Previous Monthly Low0.667
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6779
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6784
Daily Pivot Point S10.6768
Daily Pivot Point S20.6759
Daily Pivot Point S30.6747
Daily Pivot Point R10.6789
Daily Pivot Point R20.6801
Daily Pivot Point R30.681

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).