|

AUD/USD sticks to gains near 0.7100 handle but lacks follow-through

   • Australian government downplayed reports of a ban on the country’s coal by a Chinese port.
   •  Upbeat comments by RBA’s Lowe/US-China trade optimism provided an additional boost.
   •  Subdued USD demand remains supportive of the intraday up-move ahead of Fedspeak.

The AUD/USD pair held on to its positive tone through the early European session, albeit seemed struggling to build on the momentum beyond 200-hour SMA.

The pair caught some bids on the last trading day of the week and recovered a part of the previous session slump to over one-week lows, triggered by reports that China’s Dalian port authorities had banned Australian coal imports. The government, however, downplayed the ban on the country's coal by a Chinese port, which coupled with additional supporting factors eased the bearish pressure, rather helped stage a goodish bounce on Friday.

The US Dollar held on the defensive in wake of Thursday's soft US economic data, which reaffirmed market expectations that the Fed will hold interest rates steady and was evident from a fresh leg of downslide in the US Treasury bond yields. The Aussie further benefitted from upbeat remarks by RBA Governor Lowe, saying that there may be a case for a higher interest rate if the jobless rate drops below the current level of 5%.

This coupled with growing optimism over a possible resolution of the US-China trade spat further underpinned the China-proxy Australian Dollar and remained supportive of the intraday move back above the 0.7100 handle. The world's two biggest economies were reported to be currently outlining a deal and may soon reach an agreement, albeit failed to provide any additional boost.

Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through buying before traders again start positioning for any further near-term appreciating move amid absent relevant market moving economic releases from the US. However, speeches by influential FOMC members will be looked upon for some short-term trading opportunities later during the North-American session.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 0.7106
    Today Daily change %: 0.08%
    Today Daily Open: 0.71
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 0.7155
    Daily SMA50: 0.7133
    Daily SMA100: 0.7161
    Daily SMA200: 0.7265
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.7207
    Previous Daily Low: 0.707
    Previous Weekly High: 0.7149
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.7053
    Previous Monthly High: 0.7296
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.6684
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.7122
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.7155
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.7044
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.6988
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.6907
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.7181
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.7263
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.7318

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD looks vacillating near 1.3550

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses in the mid-1.3500s on Tuesday. Cable’s vacillating price action follows humble gains in the Greenback at the time when investors assess latest US data releases and the persistent uncertainty in the US-Iran crisis.

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1600 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the defensive, gyrating around the 1.1600 level on turnaround Tuesday. The pair’s daily correction comes on the back of a decent bounce in the US Dollar despite both the US ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTs Job Openings missed estimates.

Gold trims losses; bears still look at $4,300

Gold extends Monday’s pessimism and slipped back to nearly three-week lows just above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The US Dollar’s rebound couple with rising US Treasury yields weigh on the precious metal despite tensions in the Middle East appear far from abated.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP struggle to extend gains despite ETF inflows

Bitcoin stalls while holding above $78,000 support as ETF inflows return. Ethereum takes a breather around $2,450 amid sustained institutional support. XRP remains pressured as the 200-day EMA provides immediate support.

Global bond market sell off haunts markets

Global sovereign bonds are selling off as we start a new month. The UK is, unsurprisingly, taking the biggest hit. Two and 10-year yields rose by 10 basis points at one point on Tuesday, and are currently higher by 7 and 8bps respectively.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.