|

AUD/USD steadies below 0.6200 following a volatile start to the week

  • Industrial Production and Retail sales fell sharply in China.
  • US Dollar Index stays below 98 following Fed's drastic rate cut.
  • RBA will announce new policy measures on Thursday.

The AUD/USD pair started the week with a 50-pip bearish gap and fluctuated sharply during the Asian trading hours after the Federal Reserve announced a 100 basis points cut to its policy rate. After spiking above 0.6300, the pair quickly erased its gains and renewed its lowest level in more than a decade below 0.6100. With markets turning relatively calm ahead of the American session, the pair is trading at 0.6172, down 0.15% on a daily basis.

Will the RBA lower its policy rate?

Following the Fed's announcement, the Reserve Bank of Australia noted that it stands ready to purchase government bonds in the secondary market to help the financial markets continue to operate in an orderly manner. Additionally, the RBA said that it will be announcing further policy measures on Thursday.

According to Westpac analysts, the RBA is likely to lower its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.25%.

Meanwhile, the data from China showed that Industrial Production contracted by 13.5% on a yearly basis in February and Retail Sales declined by 20.5% in the same period to reflect the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the economy.

On the other hand, the greenback is struggling to find demand on Monday and keeping the pair's downside limited for the time being. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is down 0.85% on the day at 97.85.

Technical levels to watch for

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6177
Today Daily Change-0.0048
Today Daily Change %-0.77
Today daily open0.6225
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.656
Daily SMA500.6704
Daily SMA1000.6786
Daily SMA2000.6819
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6326
Previous Daily Low0.6122
Previous Weekly High0.6686
Previous Weekly Low0.6122
Previous Monthly High0.6775
Previous Monthly Low0.6434
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6248
Daily Pivot Point S10.6122
Daily Pivot Point S20.602
Daily Pivot Point S30.5918
Daily Pivot Point R10.6327
Daily Pivot Point R20.6429
Daily Pivot Point R30.6531

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.