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AUD/USD shifts below 0.6700 as RBA minutes remain less hawkish, Fed policy hogs limelight

  • AUD/USD may display further downside as investors believe that RBA’s response to Australian stubborn inflation is ordinary.
  • RBA policymakers are worried that monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) could remain volatile from month to month.
  • To contain the consequences of elevating banking stress, Fed could consider silence on interest rates.

The AUD/USD pair is displaying a back-and-forth action below the round-level resistance of 0.6700 in the early Asian session. The Aussie asset still looks vulnerable below 0.6700 and is expected to continue its downside as the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes have confirmed that RBA policymakers are not very hawkish as expected by the street.

In considering the policy decision, members observed that inflation in Australia remained too high, the labor market was very tight and wage growth had picked up. Surveys continued to signal that business conditions were favorable. Also, RBA policymakers considered the option of 25 basis points (bps) only despite persistent inflation in the Australian economy.

For inflation guidance, the minutes show that RBA policymakers are worried that the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) could remain volatile from month to month despite softening from its peak of 8.4%, recorded in December.

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures are sticking to some nominal losses, which have been added in the Asian session. The 500-US stocks basket recovered firmly on Monday as the street is anticipating an unchanged monetary policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed). To contain the consequences of elevating banking stress, Fed chair Jerome Powell could consider silence on interest rates as further policy tightening could propel fears of further banking turmoil.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to extend its recovery move above 103.44 as the street believes in the hawkish case scenario, Fed won’t go beyond the 25 basis points (bps) rate hike as the revival of investors’ confidence has also become a priority for them.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6691
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open0.6719
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6702
Daily SMA500.6867
Daily SMA1000.6781
Daily SMA2000.6764
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.673
Previous Daily Low0.6666
Previous Weekly High0.6725
Previous Weekly Low0.6579
Previous Monthly High0.7158
Previous Monthly Low0.6698
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6706
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.669
Daily Pivot Point S10.668
Daily Pivot Point S20.6641
Daily Pivot Point S30.6616
Daily Pivot Point R10.6744
Daily Pivot Point R20.6769
Daily Pivot Point R30.6808

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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