|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: The price looks set to move above 0.73 once again

  • AUD/USD trades 0.30% higher after a couple of tough sessions.
  • The price has found some support after the NFP data.

AUD/USD Price Analysis

AUD/USD has pushed higher today while some of the other majors struggled. Most of the majors have recovered after the USD gained some short term strength following the US non-farm payroll data. Both the unemployment and NFP numbers beat analyst consensus estimates but many of the jobs added have been proved to be government jobs. A large amount of hiring came from Census workers, whose rolls increased by 328,000.

Looking at the chart, the price bounce off the red support level at 0.7239. The price has been moving smoothly in a channel for some time now (marked in black). This looks like a classic trend continuation structure and the price now test the previous highs. If the channel low does break then the blue horizontal line could be the next support zone at 0.7145. 

Looking at the indicators, the MACD the signal lines have dipped below the mid-level and the histogram is firmly in the red. The Relative Strength Index is also bearish below the 50 line but the indicator is moving away from the oversold area.

Overall, this is still a pretty strong uptrend. The market is still making higher highs and higher lows on the higher timeframes. It is still too early to call a change in trend but a break of the channel could be an indication. 

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7295
Today Daily Change0.0021
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open0.7274
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7225
Daily SMA500.7113
Daily SMA1000.6878
Daily SMA2000.6744
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.734
Previous Daily Low0.7264
Previous Weekly High0.7369
Previous Weekly Low0.715
Previous Monthly High0.7416
Previous Monthly Low0.7076
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7293
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7311
Daily Pivot Point S10.7245
Daily Pivot Point S20.7217
Daily Pivot Point S30.7169
Daily Pivot Point R10.7321
Daily Pivot Point R20.7369
Daily Pivot Point R30.7397

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.