|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Holds above the 0.6760 area, investors await Fed decision

  • AUD/USD recovers some losses and holds above 0.6765.
  • The key resistance level is located at 0.6800; the strong support level is seen at 0.6700.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 50, indicating the non-directional movement of the pair.

The AUD/USD pair recovers its recent loss and edges higher beyond the 0.6770 mark heading into the early European session on Wednesday. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 0.6771, losing 0.30% for the day.

On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the country's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.8% in the second quarter of 2023, compared to a 1.4% increase in the first quarter and the market consensus of 1.0% growth. The pair accelerates declines towards 0.6700 following the data and then recovers some losses as Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers said there is still a long way to go to combat inflation. Still, it is heading in the right direction.

However, market players await the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference for further guidance for the entire year.

From a technical perspective, if AUD/USD extends its gains past 0.6775 (the lower limit of the Bollinger Band) on the one-hour chart, the next resistance level would be 0.6800. The mentioned level represents the confluence of a psychological round mark, the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band, and a high of July 25. A break above the latter would expose to 0.6820 (Low of July 20), en route to 0.6845 (High of July 20), and finally to 0.6860 (Low of July 14).

On the flip side, any extended weakness below the July 25 low of 0.6750 will challenge the next contention at 0.6700 (High of July 7, a psychological round figure). Further south, the next stop of the AUD/USD is located at 0.6650 (Low of July 11).

It’s worth noting that the pair's momentum seems to be directionless for the time being as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 50.

AUD/USD one-hour chart

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6764
Today Daily Change-0.0028
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open0.6792
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6727
Daily SMA500.6695
Daily SMA1000.6689
Daily SMA2000.6723
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6795
Previous Daily Low0.6725
Previous Weekly High0.6854
Previous Weekly Low0.6722
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6768
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6752
Daily Pivot Point S10.6747
Daily Pivot Point S20.6701
Daily Pivot Point S30.6677
Daily Pivot Point R10.6816
Daily Pivot Point R20.684
Daily Pivot Point R30.6886

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Week ahead: RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP
The US dollar staged a modest recovery this week, perhaps as traders decided to cover some of their short positions amid slightly stickier or in-line US PCE inflation numbers for July, confounding expectations of softer prints amid the softness revealed in the CPI data for the month.
CFTC Report: CAD short covering leads; Gold buying surges
The week in one sentence: speculative positioning shifted more constructively in the week to August 25. CAD short covering led the move, followed by a broad reduction in EUR shorts and renewed Gold buying. GBP and VIX positioning also improved, while JPY positioning deteriorated and WTI flows diverged from weaker prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.