|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Corrective pullback battles 200-HMA but bears stay hopeful

  • AUD/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, snaps two-day downtrend.
  • 50% Fibonacci retracement, weekly support line restrict short-term downside.
  • One-week-old horizontal area, 50-HMA add to the upside filters.
  • Higher high on prices, RSI favors bulls to battle short-term resistances.

AUD/USD renews intraday high around 0.7090, up 0.20% on a day during early Monday morning in Europe.

In doing so, the Aussie pair portrays a corrective pullback beyond short-term key Fibonacci retracement levels while challenging the 200-HMA. Adding strength to the bullish is the higher low in the RSI line, as well as the AUD/USD prices.

It should be noted, however, that the 200-HMA level of 0.7095 guards the quote’s immediate upside.

Following that, a one-week-old horizontal area joins 50-HMA to challenge AUD/USD bulls around 0.7110, a break of which will confirm short-term bullish bias targeting 0.7170.

Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially test the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels of January 28 to February 03 upside, respectively at 0.7067 and 0.7043.

Also acting as a downside filter is an upward sloping trend line from February 01, near 0.7055.

Should the quote drops below 0.7043, the odds of its further south-run targeting the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.

AUD/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Pullback expecte

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.7089
Today Daily Change0.0014
Today Daily Change %0.20%
Today daily open0.7075
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7158
Daily SMA500.7163
Daily SMA1000.7253
Daily SMA2000.738
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7153
Previous Daily Low0.7051
Previous Weekly High0.7168
Previous Weekly Low0.6985
Previous Monthly High0.7315
Previous Monthly Low0.6966
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.709
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.7114
Daily Pivot Point S10.7033
Daily Pivot Point S20.6991
Daily Pivot Point S30.6931
Daily Pivot Point R10.7135
Daily Pivot Point R20.7195
Daily Pivot Point R30.7237

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).