|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bulls face rejection near 0.7860 despite rising iron ore prices

  • AUD/USD retreats from 0.7860 in the Asian session.
  • More downside in the offing below the 0.7820 mark.
  • Neutral momentum oscillator tilts in favor of bears.

The AUD/USD pair looks exhaustive near the 0.7860 mark in the Asian session. The pair witnessed a sharp price rise on a weekly basis, however, it now lacks the strength to carry on the gains into a fresh week. 

Last week’s surge in the aussie could be associated with the post-NFP-led US dollar’s decline and a record rise in iron-ore prices.

At the time of writing, the AUD/USD pair is trading at 0.7841, down 0.02% on the day.

AUD/USD four-hour chart

On the four-hour chart, the pair accumulates gains,  after having touched the intraday high at 0.7862. If prices break the 20-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) placed at 0.7830, then it will negate the upward momentum in the short term. 

On moving downward,  prices would meet the 0.7820 horizontal support and the next would be at0.7780,  the 50% Fibonacci level. Finally seeking solace toward the 0.7740 horizontal support zone.

On the flip side, a break above the 0.7860 confluence zone could invite fresh constructive bids back towards 0.7900. Next, the bulls would ask for February 24 highs near the  0.7950 region, followed by monthly highs of 0.8000 (February 25 high).

AUD/USD additional levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.7845
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open0.7844
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.7742
Daily SMA500.771
Daily SMA1000.7712
Daily SMA2000.748
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.7863
Previous Daily Low0.776
Previous Weekly High0.7863
Previous Weekly Low0.7674
Previous Monthly High0.7819
Previous Monthly Low0.7531
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.7824
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.78
Daily Pivot Point S10.7782
Daily Pivot Point S20.772
Daily Pivot Point S30.768
Daily Pivot Point R10.7885
Daily Pivot Point R20.7925
Daily Pivot Point R30.7987

Author

Rekha Chauhan

Rekha Chauhan

Independent Analyst

Rekha Chauhan has been working as a content writer and research analyst in the forex and equity market domain for over two years.

More from Rekha Chauhan
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold hits fresh three-month low below $4,000 amid surging energy prices

Gold slides to a fresh three-month low at $3,986.74 in the Asian trade on Friday. The precious metal faces intense selling pressure, following a consolidation breakdown that took place on the range between $4,227.90 and $4,066.64 in the past three weeks.


Cardano: Whale selling deepens correction
Cardano (ADA) edges higher by nearly 2% on Friday, following a roughly 6% decline the previous day. The pullback aligns with the sell-side appeal among large-wallet investors, commonly referred to as whales, and Cardano derivatives. The technical outlook for ADA is bearish, with downside momentum persisting. Whales are losing their appetite for holding ADA tokens, fueling near-term selling pressure.
The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.