|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Aussie bulls attack 100-DMA within bullish channel

  • AUD/USD renews three-week high inside two-month-old ascending trend channel.
  • Bullish MACD signals, upbeat RSI keeps buyers hopeful of crossing 100-DMA hurdle.
  • Sellers remain off the table unless witnessing daily close beyond 0.6600.

AUD/USD stays on the bids for the sixth consecutive day as it refreshes a three-week high near 0.6785 during early Monday in Europe. In doing so, the Aussie pair prods the 100-DMA hurdle inside an upward-sloping trend channel comprising multiple levels marked since March.

Given the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, the AUD/USD buyers are likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding 0.6790, comprising the 100-DMA.

However, likely overbought conditions around the 0.6800 round figure and the top line of the stated bullish channel, close to 0.6810 at the latest, can challenge the AUD/USD bulls afterward.

Should the Aussie pair buyers keep the reins past 0.6810, 0.6855 and 0.6900 will precede the mid-February’s peak of around 0.7030 to challenge the pair buyers.

On the contrary, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s run-up from October 2022 to February 2023, near 0.6660, can challenge the AUD/USD bears.

Following that, the stated channel’s bottom line of around 0.6600 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of near 0.6545, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, may prod the Aussie pair sellers before giving them control.

Overall, AUD/USD remains on the bull’s radar even if the upside remains long and bumpy.

AUD/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.6782
Today Daily Change0.0033
Today Daily Change %0.49%
Today daily open0.6749
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6681
Daily SMA500.6684
Daily SMA1000.6788
Daily SMA2000.6729
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6757
Previous Daily Low0.6689
Previous Weekly High0.6757
Previous Weekly Low0.6607
Previous Monthly High0.6806
Previous Monthly Low0.6574
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6731
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6715
Daily Pivot Point S10.6707
Daily Pivot Point S20.6664
Daily Pivot Point S30.6639
Daily Pivot Point R10.6774
Daily Pivot Point R20.6799
Daily Pivot Point R30.6842

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold stalls recovery from three-month low as Fed hike bets and USD uptick cap gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest intraday bounce from levels below the $4,000 psychological mark, or a three-month low set during the Asian session, and sticks to a negative tone for the second straight day. The Federal Reserve recently signaled that there is no urgency to raise interest rates. Traders, however, are still pricing in around an 80% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs again at its December policy meeting.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple rebound as major support levels cap recent sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple rebound modestly on Friday after correcting and testing their key support zone the previous day. BTC holds the 50-day EMA, ETH finds support around the 100-day EMA, while XRP holds the horizontal floor near $1.300. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a recovery if this critical support zone holds; a decisive close below these levels suggests a deeper correction.

The week ahead – UK budget, Shell, BP and HSBC and NatWest results
Financial markets have undergone another turbulent week with concerns about public sector debt levels, the impact of energy policy and higher oil and gas prices, and what events in France might mean for the UK economy going forward.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.