|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Approaches 0.6700 amid quiet market mood

  • AUD/USD is aiming to recapture the immediate resistance of 0.6700 amid a decline in the USD Index.
  • RBA Lowe kept interest rates unchanged but warned that some further tightening is appropriate.
  • AUD/USD has climbed above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6667.

The AUD/USD pair is looking to extend its upside journey toward the round-level resistance of 0.6700 in the European session. The Aussie asset showed a V-shape recovery from 0.6640 as investors have recovered losses inspired by a steady monetary policy announcement by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

S&P500 futures have posted moderate losses in London, portraying a quiet market mood as the weekly session has shortened due to the holiday on Tuesday on account of Independence Day. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction as investors are awaiting the release of the United States Employment data for further guidance.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe kept interest rates unchanged but warned that some further tightening of monetary policy is appropriate. The decision of maintaining the status quo must have been supported by softening of Australian inflation to 5.8% due to lower gasoline prices.

AUD/USD has climbed above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (placed from June 16 high at 0.6900 to June 25 low at 0.6595) at 0.6667 on an hourly scale. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6663 is consistently providing support to the Australian Dollar bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is gathering strength to jump into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An occurrence of the same would strengthen Aussie bulls.

A decisive break above 38.2% Fibo retracement at 0.6712 would expose the asset to June 23 high at 0.6767, followed by the round-level resistance at 0.6800.

On the flip side, a confident break June 29 low at 0.6595 would drag the asset toward June 02 low at 0.6565 and the round-level support at 0.6500.

AUD/USD hourly chart  

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.669
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open0.6672
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6732
Daily SMA500.6673
Daily SMA1000.6697
Daily SMA2000.6693
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6692
Previous Daily Low0.6637
Previous Weekly High0.6721
Previous Weekly Low0.6595
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6658
Daily Pivot Point S10.6642
Daily Pivot Point S20.6612
Daily Pivot Point S30.6588
Daily Pivot Point R10.6697
Daily Pivot Point R20.6722
Daily Pivot Point R30.6752

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).