|

AUD/USD Price Analysis: Approaches 0.6700 amid quiet market mood

  • AUD/USD is aiming to recapture the immediate resistance of 0.6700 amid a decline in the USD Index.
  • RBA Lowe kept interest rates unchanged but warned that some further tightening is appropriate.
  • AUD/USD has climbed above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at 0.6667.

The AUD/USD pair is looking to extend its upside journey toward the round-level resistance of 0.6700 in the European session. The Aussie asset showed a V-shape recovery from 0.6640 as investors have recovered losses inspired by a steady monetary policy announcement by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

S&P500 futures have posted moderate losses in London, portraying a quiet market mood as the weekly session has shortened due to the holiday on Tuesday on account of Independence Day. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of volatility contraction as investors are awaiting the release of the United States Employment data for further guidance.

RBA Governor Philip Lowe kept interest rates unchanged but warned that some further tightening of monetary policy is appropriate. The decision of maintaining the status quo must have been supported by softening of Australian inflation to 5.8% due to lower gasoline prices.

AUD/USD has climbed above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (placed from June 16 high at 0.6900 to June 25 low at 0.6595) at 0.6667 on an hourly scale. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6663 is consistently providing support to the Australian Dollar bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is gathering strength to jump into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An occurrence of the same would strengthen Aussie bulls.

A decisive break above 38.2% Fibo retracement at 0.6712 would expose the asset to June 23 high at 0.6767, followed by the round-level resistance at 0.6800.

On the flip side, a confident break June 29 low at 0.6595 would drag the asset toward June 02 low at 0.6565 and the round-level support at 0.6500.

AUD/USD hourly chart  

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.669
Today Daily Change0.0018
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open0.6672
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6732
Daily SMA500.6673
Daily SMA1000.6697
Daily SMA2000.6693
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6692
Previous Daily Low0.6637
Previous Weekly High0.6721
Previous Weekly Low0.6595
Previous Monthly High0.69
Previous Monthly Low0.6484
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6671
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6658
Daily Pivot Point S10.6642
Daily Pivot Point S20.6612
Daily Pivot Point S30.6588
Daily Pivot Point R10.6697
Daily Pivot Point R20.6722
Daily Pivot Point R30.6752

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold shrugs off hot US PPI as risk aversion drives bond yields lower

Gold attracts fresh buying on Thursday as weakness across global equities, driven by mounting concerns over AI-related investments, triggers a sharp pullback in US Treasury yields and drags the US Dollar lower from fresh year-to-date highs.

Ripple clings to $1.30 support as downside risks intensify

Ripple is stuck in a bearish trend, trading near $1.30 on Thursday. The remittance token’s bearish shift reflects the broader cryptocurrency market, which remains under heavy selling amid concerns about accelerating inflation in the US.

Budget preview: Is Healey impressing the bond market?

There is less than 2 weeks to go before the Chancellor delivers his first budget. Unusually for the UK, the economic and financial backdrop to this budget is upbeat. UK bonds have been rallying, the FTSE 100 is the top performing major stock index this week, and the Pound is also stabilising versus the Dollar.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?