|

AUD/USD maintains bearish bias for third straight session

The AUD/USD pair traded with bearish bias for the third straight session but remained within previous session's trading range. 

The pair prolonged its corrective slide from over 4-month tops touched at the beginning of this week and continued with its struggle to recover back the 0.7700 handle amid weaker commodity prices. This coupled with a modest recovery in the US treasury bond yields is further weighing on the higher-yielding currencies - like the Aussie. 

Despite of today's downslide, the pair has held above previous session's weekly lows as investors wait to see the fate of Trump's healthcare bill that repeal and replace ObamaCare. Today's historic vote in the House of Representatives would be a key determinant of the market expectations over Trump's ability to deliver on the promised pro-growth economic policies and the US Dollar's next leg of directional move. 

Trump needs a House victory to hold back creeping doubts over his Presidency – AmpGFX

Also in focus would be speeches from the Fed Chair Janet Yellen and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari – the sole dissenter against the Fed rate hike decision last week. 

On the economic data front, the release of initial weekly jobless claims and new home sales data from the US might provide some trading impetus during early NA session.

Technical levels to watch

Currently trading around 0.7660 level, bears would be eyeing for a decisive break below 0.7440 support (yesterday's low), below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slide towards 50-day SMA support near 0.7615 region ahead of 0.7575 strong horizontal support.

On the upside, momentum above 0.7680-85 immediate hurdle has the potential to lift the pair towards 0.7710 intermediate resistance, en-route multi-month highs strong resistance near mid-0.7700s.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 0.7722
100.0%70.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 50% Bullish
  • 20% Bearish
  • 30% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 0.7588
100.0%85.0%20.0%0203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 20% Bullish
  • 65% Bearish
  • 15% Sideways
Bias Bearish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 0.7503
100.0%80.0%10.0%010203040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 10% Bullish
  • 70% Bearish
  • 20% Sideways
Bias Bearish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.