|

AUD/USD inter-markets: seems vulnerable to extend disappointing jobs report-led reversal

Having touched a two-month high level of 0.7734, the AUD/USD pair reversed sharply and maintained its offered tone, erasing all of its strong gains registered on Wednesday. 

Thursday's sharp reversal was primarily led by disappointing Australian jobs data that reaffirmed RBA's concerns of weaker labor market conditions, which could lead to a downward surprise in inflation. The latest Australian CPI print for Q3 is due for release on October 26 and disappointment from inflation reading would increase possibilities of an RBA rate-cut, sooner rather than later. 

A sharp slide in Australian 10-year government bond yields is supportive of market concerns of further RBA monetary easing and is weighing on the pair heavily. Adding to this, softer tone around commodities, especially Copper, is further denting demand for commodity-linked currencies - like Aussie. 

Meanwhile, a broad based US Dollar strength on optimism led by increasing probability of an eventual win for Hillary Clinton at the upcoming US Presidential election in November, following the third and final US presidential debate, is exerting additional selling pressure around the major. 

Moreover, the prevalent cautious sentiment, as depicted by an up-tick in the Volatility Index (VIX), reaffirmed by slide in the US 10-year Treasury bond yields, is further driving investors away from higher-yielding currencies, including the Australian Dollar. 

Going forward, any further weakness in commodities led by global risk-aversion mood (rise in VIX) and (or) increasing prospects of Fed rate-hike action, would attract fresh selling pressure and turn the pair vulnerable to extend its reversal further towards 0.7600 round figure mark.
 

Sell 50%
Buy 50%
100.0%50.0%0455055606570758085909510010500.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
Avg Sell Price 0.7670
Avg Buy Price 0.7618
Liquidity Distribution
0.74400.76350.783200.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.911.100.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910.74400.76350.7832SellBuy

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks higher to near 1.1800 ahead of flash German inflation data

The EUR/USD pair trades marginally higher to near 1.1810 in the late Asian trading session on Friday, ahead of the release of preliminary inflation data for February from Germany and its major states during the day.

GBP/USD struggles to lure buyers amid UK political drama, BoE easing bias

The GBP/USD pair struggles to build on the overnight modest bounce from the 1.3445 area, or the weekly low, and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade just below the 1.3500 psychological mark, nearly unchanged for the day, and seem vulnerable to slide further.

Gold sticks to positive bias as safe-haven demand persists; $5,200 holds the key for bulls

Gold trades with positive bias for the third straight day on Friday, with bulls still awaiting sustained strength and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any further gains. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a large US naval and air power buildup in the Middle East.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.