|

AUD/USD hit 12-day low on dovish RBA Lowe's comments

  • RBA's Lowe sees interest rates staying low for longer, expresses concerns regarding stagnant labor productivity.
  • Lowe's dovish comments bolstered the already bearish technical setup in the AUD/USD pair.

The AUD/USD pair hit a 12-day low of 0.7556 after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor Lowe said any increase in the country's official cash rates was still "some time away".

Lowe expressed concerns regarding stagnant labor productivity despite continued strength in the labor market and reiterated that wage growth and consumer price inflation remains tepid.

The central bankers' speech carried dovish tinge and that seems to have weighed over the Aussie dollar.  The AUD/USD was already on the back foot courtesy of the bear flag breakdown and looks even weaker now post-Lowe's dovish comments.

At press time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.7563.

AUD/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 0.7584 (resistance on hourly chart), 0.7602 (50-hour MA + 10-day MA), and 0.7624 (previous day's high).

Support: 0.7561 (June 8 low), 0.7544 (38.2% Fib R of May-June rally), 0.7513 (61.8% Fib R of May-June rally).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishNeutral Expanding
1HBullishOversold Expanding
4HBearishNeutral Shrinking
1DBullishNeutral High
1WBearishNeutral Shrinking

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold bulls seem hesitant below $4,500 amid modest USD bounce ahead of US NFP

Gold remains on the defensive below the $4,500 mark through the Asian session, snapping a two-day winning streak amid a modest US Dollar uptick. The commodity, however, remains close to the weekly high, which it touched the previous day, as traders keenly await the release of the closely watched US monthly employment details. The popularly known US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report will provide more cues about the Fed's policy path amid receding bets of a September rate hike.

Bitcoin clears $80,000 on reduced rate hike odds – Zcash, Ethena rise

Bitcoin is trading above $80,000 on Friday, sustaining the broader cryptocurrency market's risk-on sentiment. Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller signaled support for a potential pause in interest rates on Thursday, lowering the odds of a September rate hike to 50%. Zcash (ZEC) and Ethena (ENA) emerge as top performers over the last 24 hours.

NFP preview: Can jobs data ease rate hike fears?

As we move to the end of the week, the focus shifts to the macro data, and to the strength of the labour market in the US. August payrolls are released on Friday at 1330 BST, and the market is expecting a reading of 58k. The unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.1% and wage growth is expected to moderate slightly to 3% last month, down from 3.2%.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.