|

AUD/USD gives back major early gains ahead of Aussie Employment data

  • AUD/USD gives up major initial gains, while the US Dollar holds onto gains near a three-week high.
  • Traders pare Fed dovish bets as Trump’s tariffs have started feeding into prices.
  • Investors await the Australian labor market data for June.

The AUD/USD pair surrenders a majority of its initial gains during the European session on Wednesday. Still, the Aussie pair trades 0.10% higher to near 0.6540. The pair snaps three-day losing streak as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its upside after refreshing three-week high on Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, holds onto gains near 98.60.

The US Dollar attracted significant bids on Tuesday after the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June showed acceleration in prices of goods that are majorly imported. Signs of price pressures accelerating led traders to trim their bets supporting interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its September monetary policy meeting.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability for the Fed to cut interest rates in the September meeting has reduced to 55.5% from 64.7% seen a week ago.

Meanwhile, investors brace for further increase in inflationary pressures as the impact of tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump on 22 nations is yet to be fed into the economy.

In Australia, investors await the employment data for June, which will be published on Thursday. Economists expect the Australian economy to have added fresh 20K workers. In May, employers laid off 2.5K workers. The Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 4.1%.

Economic Indicator

Employment Change s.a.

The Employment Change released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Australia. The statistic is adjusted to remove the influence of seasonal trends. Generally speaking, a rise in Employment Change has positive implications for consumer spending, stimulates economic growth, and is bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). A low reading, on the other hand, is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jul 17, 2025 01:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 20K

Previous: -2.5K

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.