|

AUD/USD gives back major early gains ahead of Aussie Employment data

  • AUD/USD gives up major initial gains, while the US Dollar holds onto gains near a three-week high.
  • Traders pare Fed dovish bets as Trump’s tariffs have started feeding into prices.
  • Investors await the Australian labor market data for June.

The AUD/USD pair surrenders a majority of its initial gains during the European session on Wednesday. Still, the Aussie pair trades 0.10% higher to near 0.6540. The pair snaps three-day losing streak as the US Dollar (USD) struggles to extend its upside after refreshing three-week high on Tuesday.

At the time of writing, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, holds onto gains near 98.60.

The US Dollar attracted significant bids on Tuesday after the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June showed acceleration in prices of goods that are majorly imported. Signs of price pressures accelerating led traders to trim their bets supporting interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its September monetary policy meeting.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, the probability for the Fed to cut interest rates in the September meeting has reduced to 55.5% from 64.7% seen a week ago.

Meanwhile, investors brace for further increase in inflationary pressures as the impact of tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump on 22 nations is yet to be fed into the economy.

In Australia, investors await the employment data for June, which will be published on Thursday. Economists expect the Australian economy to have added fresh 20K workers. In May, employers laid off 2.5K workers. The Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 4.1%.

Economic Indicator

Employment Change s.a.

The Employment Change released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics is a measure of the change in the number of employed people in Australia. The statistic is adjusted to remove the influence of seasonal trends. Generally speaking, a rise in Employment Change has positive implications for consumer spending, stimulates economic growth, and is bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD). A low reading, on the other hand, is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Jul 17, 2025 01:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 20K

Previous: -2.5K

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD retreats below 1.1800 following earlier rebound

EUR/USD loses its recovery momentum and trades little-changed on the day below 1.1300 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The modest improvement seen in risk mood limits the US Dollar's gains and allows the pair to hold its ground.

GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3500

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 on Wednesday. The pair edges higher as the US Dollar meets fresh supply amid a modest improvement seen in risk sentiment following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address.

Gold rises toward $5,200, supported by geopolitics and trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.