|

AUD/USD extends its downside below 0.6700 ahead of US NFP data

  • AUD/USD drops sharply below 0.6700 as investors turn cautious ahead of US labor market data.
  • An upbeat US NFP report would impact higher prospects for early rate cuts by the Fed.
  • The Australian Dollar will dance to the tunes of the monthly Retail Sales data.

The AUD/USD pair has witnessed a steep fall as investors have rushed towards safe-haven assets to safeguard themselves against escalating volatility ahead of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, which will be published at 13:30 GMT. The Aussie asset has dropped below the crucial support of 0.6700 in the early New York session.

S&P500 futures have generated losses in the European session, portraying a dismal market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has printed a fresh three-week high at 102.70. 10-year US Treasury yields have jumped to near 4.04%.

The release of the US NFP data is expected to trigger sheer volatility in the FX domain. Analysts at TD Securities TD Securities analysts said that they expect a steady 150,000–200,000 growth in payrolls for the third straight month. As per their forecasts the Unemployment Rate will rebound by a tenth after unexpectedly dropping to 3.7% in November. Wage growth likely printed 0.3% m/m.”

It is likely that an upbeat labor market report will challenge the narrative of ‘rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) from March’. The chances of an interest rate reduction from March have dropped recently as Fed policymakers have been emphasizing on keeping interest rates higher for a longer period.

On the Australian Dollar front, investors will focus on monthly Retail Sales for November, which will be published on Tuesday. As per the estimates, the consumer spending grew by 1.2% after contracting 0.2% in October. This may allow Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policymakers to stay with argument of keeping interest rates elevated for longer.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6686
Today Daily Change-0.0018
Today Daily Change %-0.27
Today daily open0.6704
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6734
Daily SMA500.6596
Daily SMA1000.6496
Daily SMA2000.6584
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.676
Previous Daily Low0.6697
Previous Weekly High0.6871
Previous Weekly Low0.6781
Previous Monthly High0.6871
Previous Monthly Low0.6526
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6721
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6736
Daily Pivot Point S10.6681
Daily Pivot Point S20.6657
Daily Pivot Point S30.6618
Daily Pivot Point R10.6744
Daily Pivot Point R20.6784
Daily Pivot Point R30.6807

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 in quiet session

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day holiday. 

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold sticks to intraday losses; lacks follow-through

Gold remains depressed through the early European session on Monday, though it has managed to rebound from the daily trough and currently trades around the $5,000 psychological mark. Moreover, a combination of supporting factors warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders, and before positioning for deeper losses.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.