|

AUD/USD consolidates in a tight range below 0.6450 ahead of the RBA Meeting Minutes

  • AUD/USD trades sideways around 0.6437 amid the cautious mood.
  • Markets expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to keep its cash rate at 4.10% for the third consecutive month.
  • Federal Reserve (Fed) is not expected to surprise the markets, with the probability of keeping rates unchanged at 99%.
  • Market players await the RBA Meeting Minutes ahead of the Fed rate decision.

The AUD/USD pair consolidates in a tight range below the mid-0.6400s during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Markets turn cautious ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rate decision later in the day. The pair currently trades near 0.6437, gaining 0.01% on the day.

Michele Bullock began her seven-year term as RBA governor after taking over from Philip Lowe on Monday. She stated that she will inherit an economy with moderating inflation, robust employment, and continued development. The RBA Minutes are scheduled for Tuesday, and markets expect the Australian central bank to keep its cash rate at 4.10% for the third month in a row. However, the possibility of a rate hike in November cannot be ruled out, if inflation remains sticky. Furthermore, investors will take cues from the board's views on the downside economic risks as well as the spillover effects of China's economic downturn on Australia.

On the other hand, market participants await the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy announcement on Wednesday, while the central bank is widely expected to halt interest rates. According to the CME Fedwatch tools, the Fed is not expected to surprise the markets, with the probability of keeping rates unchanged at 99%. Nonetheless, the press conference by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell could offer hints about future interest rates path and this event will be closely watched by traders.

Looking ahead, the RBA Meeting Minutes will be the highlight on Tuesday and might trigger the volatility in the major pair. Later in the day, the US Housing Starts and Building Permits will be due. The attention will shift to the Fed policy meeting on Wednesday. Traders will take cues from the statement and find trading opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6438
Today Daily Change0.0008
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open0.643
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6429
Daily SMA500.6557
Daily SMA1000.6617
Daily SMA2000.6705
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6474
Previous Daily Low0.6425
Previous Weekly High0.6474
Previous Weekly Low0.6378
Previous Monthly High0.6724
Previous Monthly Low0.6364
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6443
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6455
Daily Pivot Point S10.6412
Daily Pivot Point S20.6394
Daily Pivot Point S30.6363
Daily Pivot Point R10.6461
Daily Pivot Point R20.6491
Daily Pivot Point R30.6509

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.