|

AUD/USD: Bulls undeterred by below-forecast Aussie trade surplus

  • AUD/USD keeps gains after dismal Aussie trade data. 
  • Australia's trade surplus narrowed to AUD 8,025 million in May. 
  • Australia's currency remains at the mercy of the broader market sentiment.

AUD/USD continues to trade in the green following the release of the weaker-than-expected Australian trade data for the month of May. 

Australia's exports slipped by 4% in May, having declined by 11.3% in the preceding months. Meanwhile, imports suffered a 6% decline following April's 9.8% drop. Despite the bigger decline in imports, Australia's trade surplus narrowed to AUD 8,025 million from AUD 8,800 million. The surplus was forecasted to rise to AUD 9,000 million. 

The decline in imports and exports was expected as economic activity in Australia and across the globe slowed sharply in April and May due to the coronavirus lockdown restrictions. Hence, the Aussie dollar is showing resilience in the face of weak numbers. 

The AUD/USD pair is trading at session highs near 0.6925 at press time, having added five pips since the release of the Aussie trade data. 

The bid tone around the Aussie dollar may weaken if the equity markets turn risk-averse in response to the rising number of coronavirus cases in the US. New reported infections in the U.S. topped 50,000 on Wednesday for the first time, according to Washington Post. 

However, that looks unlikely with the Federal Reserve running an ultra-accommodative policy. It is worth noting that cases in the US have risen at a faster rate for the past week or so. Even so, equities have largely remain bid. 

Besides, news from pharma companies like Pfizer and the biotech firm BioNTech suggesting positive trial results of a vaccine are likely to keep risk sentiment intact. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6925
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.6915
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6906
Daily SMA500.6688
Daily SMA1000.6508
Daily SMA2000.6669
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6944
Previous Daily Low0.6876
Previous Weekly High0.6975
Previous Weekly Low0.6811
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6918
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6902
Daily Pivot Point S10.688
Daily Pivot Point S20.6844
Daily Pivot Point S30.6812
Daily Pivot Point R10.6947
Daily Pivot Point R20.6979
Daily Pivot Point R30.7015

 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1850, with all eyes on US CPI data

EUR/USD holds losses while keeping its range near 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with a steady US Dollar undermines the pair ahead of the critical US CPI data. Meanwhile, the Eurozone Q4 GDP second estimate has little to no impact on the Euro. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD recovers some ground above 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid a softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold remains below $5,000 as US inflation report looms

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains in the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

The weekender: When software turns the blade on itself

Autonomous AI does not just threaten trucking companies and call centers. It challenges the cognitive toll booths that legacy software has charged for decades. This is not a forecast. No one truly knows the end state of AI.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.