|

AUD/USD: Bulls undeterred by below-forecast Aussie trade surplus

  • AUD/USD keeps gains after dismal Aussie trade data. 
  • Australia's trade surplus narrowed to AUD 8,025 million in May. 
  • Australia's currency remains at the mercy of the broader market sentiment.

AUD/USD continues to trade in the green following the release of the weaker-than-expected Australian trade data for the month of May. 

Australia's exports slipped by 4% in May, having declined by 11.3% in the preceding months. Meanwhile, imports suffered a 6% decline following April's 9.8% drop. Despite the bigger decline in imports, Australia's trade surplus narrowed to AUD 8,025 million from AUD 8,800 million. The surplus was forecasted to rise to AUD 9,000 million. 

The decline in imports and exports was expected as economic activity in Australia and across the globe slowed sharply in April and May due to the coronavirus lockdown restrictions. Hence, the Aussie dollar is showing resilience in the face of weak numbers. 

The AUD/USD pair is trading at session highs near 0.6925 at press time, having added five pips since the release of the Aussie trade data. 

The bid tone around the Aussie dollar may weaken if the equity markets turn risk-averse in response to the rising number of coronavirus cases in the US. New reported infections in the U.S. topped 50,000 on Wednesday for the first time, according to Washington Post. 

However, that looks unlikely with the Federal Reserve running an ultra-accommodative policy. It is worth noting that cases in the US have risen at a faster rate for the past week or so. Even so, equities have largely remain bid. 

Besides, news from pharma companies like Pfizer and the biotech firm BioNTech suggesting positive trial results of a vaccine are likely to keep risk sentiment intact. 

Technical levels

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6925
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open0.6915
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6906
Daily SMA500.6688
Daily SMA1000.6508
Daily SMA2000.6669
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6944
Previous Daily Low0.6876
Previous Weekly High0.6975
Previous Weekly Low0.6811
Previous Monthly High0.7065
Previous Monthly Low0.6648
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6918
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6902
Daily Pivot Point S10.688
Daily Pivot Point S20.6844
Daily Pivot Point S30.6812
Daily Pivot Point R10.6947
Daily Pivot Point R20.6979
Daily Pivot Point R30.7015

 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD looks offered just above 0.7100

AUD/USD has extended Monday’s pessimism, briefly breaching below the key. 0.7100 contention zone to hit three-day lows. The firmer tone in the Greenback has been keeping the Aussie under pressure while investors continued to gear up for the upcoming Trump-Xi Summit on Thursday.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold makes a U-turn; focus shifts to $4,400

Gold regains balance and now trades with decent gains, approaching the key $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s advance comes despite the resumption of the buying interest in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty.

Bitcoin reclaims key moving averages, altering bear cycle pattern
Bitcoin (BTC) may have altered its bear-cycle pattern after climbing above its 50-day, 100-day, 200-day, and 200-week moving averages, according to K33. In a Tuesday report, K33 noted that every time Bitcoin reclaimed all four major averages before now, it happened after the market had already established its cycle low.
Trump meets Xi: Why markets are watching this summit so closely
United States (US) President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping are set to meet in Washington on Thursday for a summit closely watched by markets. After several months of easing trade tensions between the US and China, the meeting could determine whether the world's two largest economies extend their truce or enter a new period of uncertainty.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.