AUD/JPY technical analysis: Buyers struggle to cross 10-day EMA despite bullish MACD

  • AUD/JPY stays above 23.6% Fibonacci retracement while falling behind 10-day EMA.
  • Bullish MACD pushes buyers to aim for 72.85/87 resistance-confluence.

Despite clearing 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of July-August declines, AUD/JPY struggles to cross 10-day exponential moving average (EMA) while taking rounds to 72.13 on Tuesday’s early Asian session.

A sustained break of 72.20 immediate resistance can propel prices to 72.85/87 confluence area including 21-day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement whereas August 02 high near 73.18 and 50% Fibonacci retracement near 73.51 could lure buyers next.

Supporting to the buying bets is the bullish signal by 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) technical indicator.

If traders chose to ignore the technical signal with a pull below 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 72.00, a week old rising trend-line near 71.80 can question further declines.

In a case where prices slip below 71.80 on a daily closing basis, a fresh downpour to 71.50, 71.20 and 70.75/74 can’t be ruled out.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Trend: Recovery expected

    1. R3 72.75 
    2. R2 72.49 
    3. R1 72.32 
  1. PP 72.06 
    1. S1 71.89
    2. S2  71.63
    3. S3  71.46


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