|

AUD/JPY taking on the 74.90s as bulls firm their grip despite COVID-19 risks

  • AUD/JPY is taking up higher grounds towards a key resistance om the charts.
  • Risk-off is yet to kick in following negative implications the spread of Covid-19 in Australia.

AUD/JPY has had a mixed start to the week, initially losing its footing on a marginally bid-up yen, then taking off from the lows (74.45), rallying to a high of 74.75 so far. 

The weekend headlines are contrary to the move, but as full markets engage, they could hamstring bullish attempts in AUD.

While the US diabolical coronavirus situation is taking up the global front pages, domestic cases in Melbourne and the state fo Victoria are spread across the national papers. 

Victoria's second wave 'a threat to overall Australian economic recovery': IBISWorld stated.

IBISWorld analyst Yin Yeoh has taken a look at the Australian Covid-19 economic recovery:

The second wave of Covid-19 cases in Victoria is a threat to overall Australian recovery. It underscores just how quickly this virus can return, and should make other states and territories wary of relaxing quarantine measures too quickly ...

While Victoria has been the first Australian region to experience a second wave ... it is unlikely to be the last. Local outbreaks and lockdowns are likely to be the new normal for some time.

Yeoh’s report includes this breakdown:

In 2018-19, Victoria contributed 23.7% of Australia’s national GDP, with most of this productivity occurring in the wholesale (18.7%), retail (13.7%), construction (13.5%) and manufacturing (12.8%) divisions.

Overall Australian GDP is expected to decline by 1% in 2020-21, before recovering by 4.3% in 2021-22.

Meanwhile, the Aussie is a compelling chart, resting at critical resistance following a surge of some 28% since it started to recover from the COVID-19 lows in March. 

We have the Reserve Bank of Australia this week, so markets will be looking for any hints from them as to their stance on the strength of the currency. 

More on that here:

What you need to know for the open: Summer lull or a COVID-19 tidal wave of panic-vol?

Chart of The Week

AUD/JPY levels

 

Overview
Today last price74.75
Today Daily Change0.15
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open74.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA2074.08
Daily SMA5072.07
Daily SMA10070.23
Daily SMA20072.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High74.7
Previous Daily Low74.33
Previous Weekly High74.71
Previous Weekly Low73.36
Previous Monthly High76.79
Previous Monthly Low71.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%74.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%74.47
Daily Pivot Point S174.38
Daily Pivot Point S274.17
Daily Pivot Point S374.01
Daily Pivot Point R174.76
Daily Pivot Point R274.92
Daily Pivot Point R375.13

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to regain momentum in the low1.1600s

EUR/USD is giving some signs of life in the aftermath of two severe days of losses on Wednesday, reclaiming the 1.1600 hurdle and above on the back of the resurgence of a mild selling bias around the US Dollar. Moving forward, the usual US weekly Claims will take centre stage on Thursday ahead of Friday’s crucial NFP data.
 

GBP/USD appears bid around 1.3370

GBP/USD reverses part of its recent multi-day decline, gathering some balance and managing to reach the 1.3400 region, where some initial resistance seems to have turned up. Cable’s uptick comes in response to some loss of momentum in the Greenback despite the geopolitical scenario remaining fragile.

Gold recovers modestly despite intensifying Middle East crisis

Gold keeps its daily gains well in place, although a break above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s rebound comes in response to the persistent flight-to-safety amid intense geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the bearish performance of the US Dollar.

Morgan Stanley files amended S-1 for spot Bitcoin ETF

Morgan Stanley submitted an amended S-1 filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, providing additional details on its proposed Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.