AUD/JPY taking on the 74.90s as bulls firm their grip despite COVID-19 risks


  • AUD/JPY is taking up higher grounds towards a key resistance om the charts.
  • Risk-off is yet to kick in following negative implications the spread of Covid-19 in Australia.

AUD/JPY has had a mixed start to the week, initially losing its footing on a marginally bid-up yen, then taking off from the lows (74.45), rallying to a high of 74.75 so far. 

The weekend headlines are contrary to the move, but as full markets engage, they could hamstring bullish attempts in AUD.

While the US diabolical coronavirus situation is taking up the global front pages, domestic cases in Melbourne and the state fo Victoria are spread across the national papers. 

Victoria's second wave 'a threat to overall Australian economic recovery': IBISWorld stated.

IBISWorld analyst Yin Yeoh has taken a look at the Australian Covid-19 economic recovery:

The second wave of Covid-19 cases in Victoria is a threat to overall Australian recovery. It underscores just how quickly this virus can return, and should make other states and territories wary of relaxing quarantine measures too quickly ...

While Victoria has been the first Australian region to experience a second wave ... it is unlikely to be the last. Local outbreaks and lockdowns are likely to be the new normal for some time.

Yeoh’s report includes this breakdown:

In 2018-19, Victoria contributed 23.7% of Australia’s national GDP, with most of this productivity occurring in the wholesale (18.7%), retail (13.7%), construction (13.5%) and manufacturing (12.8%) divisions.

Overall Australian GDP is expected to decline by 1% in 2020-21, before recovering by 4.3% in 2021-22.

Meanwhile, the Aussie is a compelling chart, resting at critical resistance following a surge of some 28% since it started to recover from the COVID-19 lows in March. 

We have the Reserve Bank of Australia this week, so markets will be looking for any hints from them as to their stance on the strength of the currency. 

More on that here:

What you need to know for the open: Summer lull or a COVID-19 tidal wave of panic-vol?

Chart of The Week

AUD/JPY levels

 

Overview
Today last price 74.75
Today Daily Change 0.15
Today Daily Change % 0.20
Today daily open 74.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 74.08
Daily SMA50 72.07
Daily SMA100 70.23
Daily SMA200 72.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 74.7
Previous Daily Low 74.33
Previous Weekly High 74.71
Previous Weekly Low 73.36
Previous Monthly High 76.79
Previous Monthly Low 71.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 74.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 74.47
Daily Pivot Point S1 74.38
Daily Pivot Point S2 74.17
Daily Pivot Point S3 74.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 74.76
Daily Pivot Point R2 74.92
Daily Pivot Point R3 75.13

 

 

 

 

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