|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Shrugs off sour sentiment and climbs, targeting 99.00

  • AUD/JPY advances, navigating through mixed market signals and intervention concerns, marking a 0.38% increase.
  • Technical indicators point to the first significant resistance at the Tenkan-Sen, with potential to test year-to-date highs.
  • Downside risks remain, with support levels identified at the Kijun-Sen and the 50-day moving average.

The AUD/JPY registered gains of 0.38% on Tuesday, amid a risk-off impulse as depicted by Wall Street. US equities posted mild losses, though it was ignored by risk-perceived currencies in the FX markets, like the Australian Dollar.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The threats of an intervention in the Forex markets to boost the Japanese Yen (JPY) by Japanese authorities, keeps traders at bay, uncommitted to open fresh long bets that could send the AUD/JPY toward the -year-to-date (YTD) high if 100.17. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) depicts that buyers are in charge.

That said, the AUD/JPY first resistance level would be the Tenkan-Sen at 99.17, followed by the YTD high. A breach of the latter will expose the psychological 100.50 mark, followed by the 101.00 mark.

On the flip side, if sellers move in and push prices below the Kijun-Sen of 98.53, that can pave the way to test 98.00. Once surpassed, the next stop would be the 50-day moving average (DMA) at 97.87, ahead of testing the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) top at 97.80.

AUD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price98.79
Today Daily Change0.38
Today Daily Change %0.39
Today daily open98.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA2098.29
Daily SMA5097.85
Daily SMA10097.38
Daily SMA20096.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High98.95
Previous Daily Low98.27
Previous Weekly High99.25
Previous Weekly Low98.18
Previous Monthly High100.17
Previous Monthly Low96.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%98.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%98.69
Daily Pivot Point S198.14
Daily Pivot Point S297.86
Daily Pivot Point S397.45
Daily Pivot Point R198.82
Daily Pivot Point R299.22
Daily Pivot Point R399.5

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.