|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Sentiment improvement spurred a jump towards 93.50s

  • Upbeat in risk sentiment weighed on the Japanese Yen and bolstered the Australian Dollar.
  • US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave the green light for lower-sized rate hikes.
  • AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Upward biased, could print a fresh weekly high above 94.00.

The AUD/JPY advanced sharply on Wednesday amid an improved market sentiment spurred by the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. He said that it makes sense to slow the speed of rate hikes while adding the Fed has made substantial progress towards a “sufficiently restrictive policy.” Therefore, the AUD/JPY bounced off the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and rose almost 1%. At the time of writing, the AUD/JPY is trading at 93.64.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

On Thursday, the AUD/JPY daily chart portrays the cross as neutral-to-upward bias after bouncing at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 92.79, reclaiming the 93.00 figure. As of writing, the AUD/JPY is pressuring the 50-day EMA at 93.67, which, if cleared, could drag the cross above the 94.00 mark toward the 100-day EMA at 94.29.

If that scenario is achieved, the next resistance would be November 16 weekly high at 94.65, followed by the November 8 swing high at 95.19.

Short-term, the AUD/JPY recovered some ground, particularly on Wednesday, after hitting a weekly low of 92.14, climbing more than 100 pips. Should be noted that the cross faces solid resistance at the 200-EMA at 93.68, but as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in bullish territory, the AUD/JPY might surpass the latter on its way toward the week’s high of 94.05.

AUD/JPY key resistance levels are at the weekly high of 94.05, followed by the R1 daily pivot at 94.19 and the R2 pivot point at 94.66. On the other hand, the AUD/JPY first support would be the 100-EMA at 93.45. A breach of the latter will expose the daily pivot at 93.37, followed by the 50-EMA at 93.14, ahead of the 93.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Key Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price93.7
Today Daily Change0.87
Today Daily Change %0.94
Today daily open92.83
 
Trends
Daily SMA2093.79
Daily SMA5093.75
Daily SMA10094.31
Daily SMA20092.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High93.19
Previous Daily Low92.18
Previous Weekly High94.14
Previous Weekly Low93.12
Previous Monthly High95.75
Previous Monthly Low90.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%92.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%92.57
Daily Pivot Point S192.28
Daily Pivot Point S291.73
Daily Pivot Point S391.27
Daily Pivot Point R193.28
Daily Pivot Point R293.74
Daily Pivot Point R394.29

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD risks a deeper drop below 1.1750

EUR/USD keeps its vacillating mood in place as the the NA session drwas to a close on Tuesday, hovering below the 1.1800 hurdle amid acceptable gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, market participants and the FX galaxy are expected to closely follow President Trump’s SOTU speech around 2AM GMT.
 

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold appears offered around $5,150

Gold is giving back a good portion of the recent multi-day rally, receding to the $5,150 zone per troy ounce amid the decent bounce in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasuty yields. In the meantime, markets’ attention remain on upcoming comments from Fed speakers.

Australia CPI to highlight persistent price pressures, backing a hawkish outlook

Australia will release its key set of inflation figures for the month of January on Wednesday, with the Consumer Price Index expected to rise by 3.7%, slightly lower than the 3.8% in the last month of 2025.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.