|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges after RBA’s dovish hold, technicals hint downside risks remain

  • AUD/JPY dipped below key support levels, like the Kijun-Sen, and Senkou Span.
  • The Chikou Span crossing below price action, and narrowing distance between Tenkan and Kijun-Sen, signals bears are gaining traction.
  • If AUD/JPY buyers reclaim 97.00, a rally to 98.00 is on the cards.

The AUD/JPY began Wednesday’s Asian session with a negative tone after registering losses of more than 1% on Tuesday. This is courtesy of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which held rates unchanged, though market participants perceived the decision as a “dovish hold,” so Aussie Dollar (AUD) sellers exerted downward pressure on the currency. At the time of writing, the pair is exchanging hands at 96.36, down 0.02%.

Despite registering solid losses, the AUD/JPY remains neutral to upward bias, but downside risks are emerging. The Chikou Span is crossing below the price action, turning bearish, and the distance between the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen is narrowing. If the pair slides below the November 10 low of 96.28, that will exert downward pressure on the pair. The next support would be the top of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at around 95.15/25, followed by the bottom of the Kumo at 94.95.

On the flip side, in the outcome of the AUD/JPY reclaiming the 97.00 figure, buyers could regain control. The next spotted resistance level is the Tenkan-Sen at 97.40, and if the pair gains additional momentum, it could rally toward the 98.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price96.41
Today Daily Change-1.06
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open97.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA2097.52
Daily SMA5096.2
Daily SMA10095.3
Daily SMA20093.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.98
Previous Daily Low97.2
Previous Weekly High98.5
Previous Weekly Low97.24
Previous Monthly High98.66
Previous Monthly Low95.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%97.68
Daily Pivot Point S197.12
Daily Pivot Point S296.77
Daily Pivot Point S396.34
Daily Pivot Point R197.9
Daily Pivot Point R298.33
Daily Pivot Point R398.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.