|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Plunges after RBA’s dovish hold, technicals hint downside risks remain

  • AUD/JPY dipped below key support levels, like the Kijun-Sen, and Senkou Span.
  • The Chikou Span crossing below price action, and narrowing distance between Tenkan and Kijun-Sen, signals bears are gaining traction.
  • If AUD/JPY buyers reclaim 97.00, a rally to 98.00 is on the cards.

The AUD/JPY began Wednesday’s Asian session with a negative tone after registering losses of more than 1% on Tuesday. This is courtesy of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which held rates unchanged, though market participants perceived the decision as a “dovish hold,” so Aussie Dollar (AUD) sellers exerted downward pressure on the currency. At the time of writing, the pair is exchanging hands at 96.36, down 0.02%.

Despite registering solid losses, the AUD/JPY remains neutral to upward bias, but downside risks are emerging. The Chikou Span is crossing below the price action, turning bearish, and the distance between the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen is narrowing. If the pair slides below the November 10 low of 96.28, that will exert downward pressure on the pair. The next support would be the top of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at around 95.15/25, followed by the bottom of the Kumo at 94.95.

On the flip side, in the outcome of the AUD/JPY reclaiming the 97.00 figure, buyers could regain control. The next spotted resistance level is the Tenkan-Sen at 97.40, and if the pair gains additional momentum, it could rally toward the 98.00 figure.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis – Daily Chart

AUD/JPY Technical Levels

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price96.41
Today Daily Change-1.06
Today Daily Change %-1.09
Today daily open97.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA2097.52
Daily SMA5096.2
Daily SMA10095.3
Daily SMA20093.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High97.98
Previous Daily Low97.2
Previous Weekly High98.5
Previous Weekly Low97.24
Previous Monthly High98.66
Previous Monthly Low95.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%97.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%97.68
Daily Pivot Point S197.12
Daily Pivot Point S296.77
Daily Pivot Point S396.34
Daily Pivot Point R197.9
Daily Pivot Point R298.33
Daily Pivot Point R398.68

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD recovers

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and declines toward 1.1700 on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the US Dollar benefits from the cautious market stance, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.