AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Extends its upside beyond 95.30, bolstered by upbeat Chinese data

AUD/JPY trades in positive territory for the sixth straight day on Friday.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory.
The immediate resistance level emerges at 95.78; the initial support level is located at 94.23.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

The AUD/JPY cross extends its upside for the sixth consecutive day during the Asian session on Friday. The cross trades around 95.31, gaining 0.36% on the day. The stronger-than-expected Chinese data boost antipodean currencies against its rivals.

On Friday, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that Chinese Retail Sales for August improved 4.6% YoY compared to the previous reading of 2.5%, exceeding market expectations. In the meantime, the nation's Industrial Production rose to 4.5% in August from 3.7% in July, above market expectations of 3.9%. The China-proxy Australian Dollar (AUD) attracts some buyers in response to the data and acts as a tailwind for the AUD/JPY cross.

According to the daily chart, the path of least resistance for the AUD/JPY is to the upside as the cross holds above the 50- and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory, which supports the buyers for now.

Looking at the upside, the immediate resistance level for AUD/JPY emerges at 95.78 (a high of July 21). Any follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to a high of July 4 at 96.85. The next upside stop to watch is a Year-To-Date (YTD) high of 97.62. en route to 98.00 (a psychological round mark) and finally at 98.43 (a high of Sep 12, 2022).

On the flip side, the cross will meet the initial support level near the 50-day EMA at 94.23. The next downside filter appears at 93.67, representing the 100-day EMA. A break below the latter will see a drop to the 93.00-93.10 region (a low of August 4 and round figure).

AUD/JPY daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	95.35
Today Daily Change	0.37
Today Daily Change %	0.39
Today daily open	94.98

Trends
Daily SMA20	94.19
Daily SMA50	94.29
Daily SMA100	93.76
Daily SMA200	92.02

Levels
Previous Daily High	95.05
Previous Daily Low	94.5
Previous Weekly High	94.72
Previous Weekly Low	93.59
Previous Monthly High	95.81
Previous Monthly Low	92.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	94.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	94.71
Daily Pivot Point S1	94.64
Daily Pivot Point S2	94.3
Daily Pivot Point S3	94.1
Daily Pivot Point R1	95.18
Daily Pivot Point R2	95.39
Daily Pivot Point R3	95.73

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

AUD/USD climbs toward 0.7000 after strong China data dump

AUD/USD attracts follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Monday, extending last week's recovery toward 0.7000 in Monday's Asian trading. Strong Chniese Q3 GDP and activity data for September strengthen the pair's advance, following RBA Assistant Governor Chris Kent's hawkish remarks.

USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ, subdued USD

USD/JPY remains defensive near 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, as the US Dollar remains depressed near a two-week low amid the recent decline in US bond yields. Furthermore, looming intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen and weigh on the pair amid BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's hawkish remarks. However, Fed rate-hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties could limit USD losses and the major.

Gold bulls hesitant below $4,200 as Fed risks and firmer USD cap intraday gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on modest intraday gains and remains below the $4,200 mark, well within a three-week-old trading range. US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s unwillingness to offer fresh cues on further policy moves forced investors to price out the possibility of policy tightening later this month. Moreover, the recent sharp pullback in US government bond yields from multi-year highs, which dragged the US Dollar to a two-week low on Friday, acts as a tailwind for bullion.

Pi Network: Weak momentum and waning demand reinforce downside bias

Pi Network edges lower, risking a bearish conclusion to its short-term consolidation above the $0.0774 horizontal support. A steady decline in the notional value of active PI futures contracts and the weekly spot trading volume suggests reduced retail demand. The PI token risks a retest of its record low around $0.0704 as bearish momentum remains dominant on the daily chart.

Canada CPI expected to show a pick-up in inflation in September

Canada’s September CPI figures will be the focus of attention on Monday. Indeed, Statistics Canada data will provide markets with an update on price pressures ahead of the BoC’s October 28 gathering, when officials are expected to keep the interest rate steady at 2.25%, broadly in line with analyst consensus.

Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff

Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.