|

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Extends its upside beyond 95.30, bolstered by upbeat Chinese data

  • AUD/JPY trades in positive territory for the sixth straight day on Friday.
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory.
  • The immediate resistance level emerges at 95.78; the initial support level is located at 94.23.

The AUD/JPY cross extends its upside for the sixth consecutive day during the Asian session on Friday. The cross trades around 95.31, gaining 0.36% on the day. The stronger-than-expected Chinese data boost antipodean currencies against its rivals.

On Friday, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reported that Chinese Retail Sales for August improved 4.6% YoY compared to the previous reading of 2.5%, exceeding market expectations. In the meantime, the nation's Industrial Production rose to 4.5% in August from 3.7% in July, above market expectations of 3.9%. The China-proxy Australian Dollar (AUD) attracts some buyers in response to the data and acts as a tailwind for the AUD/JPY cross.

According to the daily chart, the path of least resistance for the AUD/JPY is to the upside as the cross holds above the 50- and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above 50 in the bullish territory, which supports the buyers for now.

Looking at the upside, the immediate resistance level for AUD/JPY emerges at 95.78 (a high of July 21). Any follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to a high of July 4 at 96.85. The next upside stop to watch is a Year-To-Date (YTD) high of 97.62. en route to 98.00 (a psychological round mark) and finally at 98.43 (a high of Sep 12, 2022).

On the flip side, the cross will meet the initial support level near the 50-day EMA at 94.23. The next downside filter appears at 93.67, representing the 100-day EMA. A break below the latter will see a drop to the 93.00-93.10 region (a low of August 4 and round figure).
 

AUD/JPY daily chart

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price
95.35
Today Daily Change
0.37
Today Daily Change %
0.39
Today daily open
94.98
 
Trends
Daily SMA20
94.19
Daily SMA50
94.29
Daily SMA100
93.76
Daily SMA200
92.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High
95.05
Previous Daily Low
94.5
Previous Weekly High
94.72
Previous Weekly Low
93.59
Previous Monthly High
95.81
Previous Monthly Low
92.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%
94.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%
94.71
Daily Pivot Point S1
94.64
Daily Pivot Point S2
94.3
Daily Pivot Point S3
94.1
Daily Pivot Point R1
95.18
Daily Pivot Point R2
95.39
Daily Pivot Point R3
95.73

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD attempts some consolidation near 1.1750

EUR/USD is staying firmly supported and hovering near two-day highs around 1.1750 on Thursday, shaking off the mild pullback seen a day earlier. The pair is benefiting from a friendlier risk backdrop, underpinned by easing EU–US trade tensions and a softer Greenback. Moving forward, markets’ attention will be on the release of flash PMIs in Europe and the US on Friday.

GBP/USD flirts with 1.3500 on persistent USD selling

GBP/USD is regaining momentum on Thursday and pushing up towards two-week highs around the 1.3500 mark. In the process, Cable is leaving Wednesday’s brief wobble behind and slipping back into its upward trend, helped by ongoing selling pressure on the Greenback ahead of key advanced PMI data on Friday.

Gold: The $5,000 mark is just around the corner

Gold extends its impresive rally for yet another day on Thursday, this time surpassing the $4,900 mark per troy ounce to hit record highs on the back of the marked pullback in the US Dollar. The move is unfolding even as global risk appetite improves, after Donald Trump reversed course on Greenland, a shift that has helped cool broader geopolitical tensions.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP post modest gains as ETF selling pressure intensifies

Bitcoin rises marginally above $90,000, but intense ETF selling pressure continues to weigh on the asset. Ethereum trades around $3,000 amid broader crypto market volatility and waning institutional interest. XRP ticks up for the second consecutive day despite subdued retail demand.

Trump walks back NATO tariffs, signals de-escalation

What began as a sharp escalation risk quickly turned into a de-escalation signal. Earlier this week, markets briefly priced in escalation risk after Donald J. Trump proposed a 10% tariff hike on eight NATO nations amid the Greenland dispute.

XRP defends $1.90 support as ETFs attract inflows despite retail caution

Ripple (XRP) is consolidating above $1.90, a short-term support level, at the time of writing on Thursday. This mild uptick marks two consecutive days of a strengthening technical outlook, following recent market-wide volatility.