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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears take a break near short-term key support confluence

  • AUD/JPY remains on the back foot after breaking a one-week-old rising channel the previous day.
  • 100-bar SMA, 50% Fibonacci retracement questions the pair’s immediate declines.
  • A horizontal area comprising highs marked from March 12 can question buyers during the pullback.

AUD/JPY stays under pressure while trading around 65.90 amid the early Asian session on Wednesday. Even so, a confluence of 100-bar SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of its declines from March 03 seems to limit the pair’s immediate declines.

In addition to 65.70 support confluence, high marked on March 20 near 65.60 and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement near 64.30 also questions the bears.

However, bearish MACD and a sustained downside below short-term rising channel keep favoring the sellers.

Alternatively, buyers not only need to rise back above the said channel’s support, currently around 66.30, but should also clear 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 67.10 and the channel’s resistance line, near 67.80, to register strength in momentum.

In doing so, a horizontal area around 67.70, comprising highs marked since March 12, 2020, could offer an intermediate halt.

AUD/JPY four-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price65.89
Today Daily Change-0.63
Today Daily Change %-0.95%
Today daily open66.52
 
Trends
Daily SMA2066.74
Daily SMA5070.78
Daily SMA10072.87
Daily SMA20073.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High66.64
Previous Daily Low65.75
Previous Weekly High67.7
Previous Weekly Low62.93
Previous Monthly High74.47
Previous Monthly Low69.38
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%66.09
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%66.3
Daily Pivot Point S165.96
Daily Pivot Point S265.4
Daily Pivot Point S365.06
Daily Pivot Point R166.86
Daily Pivot Point R267.2
Daily Pivot Point R367.76

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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