|

AUD/CHF technical analysis: Bears looking for a run to a 50% mean reversion

  • AUD/CHF is in the midst of a sell-off which could extend beyond a 38.2% retracement for a 50% reversion. 
  • A subsequent pull-back, however, to the resistance and another sell-off will likely make for a high probability set up.

AUD/CHF is in the midst of a sell-off which could extend beyond a 38.2% retracement of the August lows to September highs,  located at 0.6715, and target the 50% retracement at 0.6674 (meeting the 2019 lows) should the markets continue to unravel AUD longs coupled with uncertainties surrounding the health of the global economy. 

The price broke below the late June lows and the 23.6% Fibo and in doing so is looking to extend the 2019 downtrend with the price now back below the descending trendline resistance.  A subsequent pull-back, however, to the resistance and another sell-off will likely make for a high probability set up to target the 61.8% Fibo in the 0.6630s and lower.

AUD/CHF daily chart

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD pulls away from daily highs, tests 1.3300

GBP/USD reverses its direction and trades in the red near 1.3300 in the second half of the day on Monday after starting the week on a bullish note. Falling crude Oil prices following a pause in the Middle East conflict limits the US Dollar's gains and helps the pair hold its ground for the time being.

EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.1400 as markets focus on Middle East

EUR/USD loses its bullish momentum and trades with small gains below 1.1400 in the second half of the day on Monday. Market participants remain hopeful for a de-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East following a pause in strikes but there is still uncertainty about whether the US and Iran will be able to find a diplomatic solution.

Gold is looking for direction around $4,100
Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating gains during the European trading session, following a bullish gap at the week’s opening as a moderate improvement of risk sentiment hurt the safe-haven USD. A pause in the US-Iran hostilities has boosted hopes of a second round of peace talks, sending Oil prices about $10 lower from last week’s peak and pushing US Treasury yields lower.
Bitcoin holds above key support amid ETF inflows, US-Iran bombing pause
Bitcoin (BTC) holds above the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $63,500, having posted four consecutive weeks of gains. Institutional demand shows mild signs of improvement with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) posting inflows for a third consecutive week.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC holds above key support amid ETF inflows, US-Iran bombing pause
Bitcoin (BTC) holds above the key 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) around $63,500, having posted four consecutive weeks of gains. Institutional demand shows mild signs of improvement with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) posting inflows for a third consecutive week.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.