|

Asian Stock Market: ASX leads Pacific bulls on RBA’s dovish surprise, recession woes tame optimism

  • Asia-Pacific markets remain mildly positive amid softer US data, hopes of Sino-American ties.
  • Yield curve inversion renews recession fears and weigh on market’s optimism amid US holiday.
  • Australia’s ASX rises half a percent on RBA’s surprise status quo.
  • Japan intervention, inflation fears from South Korea also prod Asian equity buyers.

Market sentiment in the Asia-Pacific region remains slightly upbeat during early Tuesday as traders juggle between the recession woes and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) inaction. Also restricting the trading sentiment could be the mixed concerns about the Sino-American ties, as well as the US holiday.

Amid these plays, MSCI’s index of the Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rises 0.30% whereas Japan’s Nikkei 225 bucks the trend with a 0.90% intraday fall, so far, to 33,461 heading into Tuesday’s European session.

It’s worth noting that Australian equities recently witnessed a boost from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) no rate hike decision, which in turn propels the benchmark ASX to an intraday high of near 7,285, up half a percent by the press time. That said, Australia’s 10-year Treasury bond yields dropped nearly 45 basis points (bps) to 3.97% after the RBA announcements.

On a border front, S&P500 Futures retreated even as Wall Street managed to post minor gains whereas US two-year Treasury bond yields rose to 4.93% while the 10-year counterpart printed mild gains around 3.86% by the end of Monday’s North American trading session.

It’s worth noting that the Chinese stocks are mildly positive as US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is in Beijing for diplomatic talks whereas South Korea’s KOSPI drops 0.30% intraday as the Bank of Korea (BoK) flagged inflation woes earlier in the day.

Elsewhere, New Zealand’s NZX50 traces its Aussie counterpart while posting nearly 0.30% intraday gains but Indian equities remain lackluster around the record tops after an upbeat day.

It should be observed that the hawkish bias surrounding the US Federal Reserve (Fed) ignores recently downbeat US data but manages to check the equity bears of late.

Moving on, share traders should pay attention to the risk catalysts for clear directions amid the US holiday and light calendar elsewhere.

Also read: Forex Today: Dollar weakens after data, attention turns to RBA

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).