|

Asia FX bears ease on hopes of less hawkish Fed, China reopening – Reuters poll

Short bets on major Asian currencies were scaled back amid hopes the region's economic outlook would benefit from China easing its COVID-19 restrictions and that the Federal Reserve would temper its rate hikes, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday.

Additional findings

Bearish positions in China's Yuan and Thailand's Baht were at their lowest since April, while market participants turned marginally bullish on the Singapore Dollar, a fortnightly poll of 11 analysts showed.

A major catalyst behind the return of some optimism was the weakness in the US Dollar after recent data gave the strongest signs yet that U.S. inflation was slowing, which helped temper expectations of further outsized Fed rate hikes.

Short bets on the South Korean Won, which typically responds sharply to the greenback's moves, were also at their lowest level since July 2021.

Short positions on the Malaysian Ringgit fell to levels last seen in June, while those in Indonesia's Rupiah and the Philippine Peso were at their lowest since August.

Also read: Asian Stock Market: Indices face turbulence as market mood sours, oil bleed

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds firm near 0.7000 after Chinese inflation, trade data

AUD/USD stays firm near 0.7000 in Wednesday’s Asian session, picking up some bids after China's mixed inflation and upbeat trade data. CPI rose less than expected in September, while PPI inflation picked up. Meanwhile, the Chinese trade surplus unexpectedly widened in September. The pair remains underpinned by a broadly subdued US Dollar, despite the Middle East escalation, as focus remains on US CPI data.

USD/JPY consolidates near 158.50; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

USD/JPY stays range-bound near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with looming intervention risks supporting the Japanese Yen and capping upside amid a softer US Dollar. However, geopolitical uncertainties act as a tailwind for the safe-haven USD and the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold consolidates above $4,150 as softer USD lends support ahead of US CPI report

Gold steadies above $4,150 during the Asian session on Wednesday, awaiting the release of the latest US inflation figures before the next leg of a directional move. The US Consumer Price Index is due for release later today, followed by the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. Moreover, US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Bangkok on Friday will be scrutinized for more cues about the future policy path.

Bitcoin eyes $85,000; ETH holds support, XRP stabilizes
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) show signs of recovery on Wednesday as buyers try to regain control after their recent market weakness. BTC extends its rebound toward the $85,000 resistance, while ETH and XRP find support around key levels.
US CPI in focus ahead of October FOMC Meeting
In the US, the most important data release of the week will be the September CPI, released this afternoon. We forecast headline inflation at 0.5% m/m SA, 3.6% y/y (prior: 0.6% m/m, 3.4% y/y) and core inflation at 0.2% m/m SA, 2.5% y/y (prior: 0.3% m/m, 2.4% y/y), with energy prices being the main driver of the expected pickup in headline inflation.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?